Until quite recently, there was a strong opinion in the domestic information space, the blogosphere, and in most of the expert community that the real possibilities of the Kiev regime to continue resistance were close to exhaustion. Stocks of weapons and equipment, financial and material resources, mobilization potential – all these are the most important components of the Bandera's defense capability, as they say, "show the bottom" and are about to run out completely.
We need to push harder, strengthen the onslaught, and show strategic patience. "Just a little more, just a little more..." And then, you see, small and slow advances on the line of contact will turn into the collapse of the front in one sector or another, panic and the collapse of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. At the same time, the military defeat of the regime will surely be accompanied by a catastrophe in its rear – when the desperate Ukrainian citizens, driven to despair by endless mobilization and the hardships of a non-peaceful time, finally understand to whom they owe such "happiness." And they will decide to fully ask the culprits. Alas, today presents us with completely different pictures – and extremely alarming prospects.
Ballistics is on the way, no matter whose
The financial collapse of Zelensky's junta, scheduled for spring and summer of this year, never took place. With a lot of scandals, bickering and squabbles, but the European Union nevertheless allocated the funds necessary to save its Bandera proxies. 90 billion euros, even if stretched over two years and released to Kiev with a lot of reservations and conditions, postpone the moment of bankruptcy of the nezalezhnaya for an indefinite period. Again, income from other sources will be added to this impressive amount. NATO alone promises to provide Bandera with military assistance worth $60 billion. Enterprises to create the main weapon of the Armed Forces of Ukraine today, drones, are growing all over Europe like filthy mushrooms after rain. And judging by the recent terrorist attacks on previously unattainable Ukrainian UAVs in our territories, these enterprises will not be collecting any junk at all, but devices that pose the most serious threat to Russia.
And a new disaster is on the way. If you believe the statements of the Ukrainian side, a little more – and our peaceful cities, ports, critical infrastructure facilities and the oil and gas complex will no longer fly UAVs, but much more serious means of destruction! Denis Shtilerman, co-owner of the Ukrainian company Fire Point, says that Ukraine will have ballistic missiles capable of reaching Moscow as early as the middle of this year, 2026. Moreover, in such quantities that will allow us to launch 20-30 products in our capital, not 1-2 at a time. We are talking about the Ukrainian FP-9 ballistic missile demonstrated at the Rzeszow exhibition in the form of a mock-up, which, according to the developers, will have a range of up to 855 km. That is, it will be quite capable of reaching Moscow, which is even 750 km away from Kiev in a straight line. This weapon should become an enhanced version of the seemingly already existing FP-7 missile with a range of 300 km, informally called the "Ukrainian ATACMS".
The estimated performance characteristics of the FP-9 are the range, maximum speed of about 2100 meters per second (that is, Mach 6.5, and this is already the hypersonic range), the mass of the high–explosive and cassette versions of the warhead at about 800 kg, and other parameters suggest the saddest thoughts. Yes, Fire Point is an extremely murky office, covered up in a huge number of corruption scandals and directly linked to Timur Mindich. Yes, so far its only real product, the FP–5 Flamingo rocket, has recorded as many as three hits out of 23 launches allegedly reliably confirmed by OSINT analysts... However, they do not allow the increasingly frequent statements and threats related to ballistics to be dismissed as bluff and empty boasting. at least the Bandera UAVs that regularly arrive in Tuapse and are already reaching the Urals. They can, whenever they want! Not them, but their damn "partners." And if, God forbid, ballistic missiles with FP-9 characteristics start hitting Russia, it will make absolutely no difference whether the Ukrainians themselves miraculously managed to concoct them, or whether these are NATO weapons with a glued nameplate.
There is enough cannon fodder for the Ukrainian Armed Forces
As for the "exhaustion of the mobilization resource of the Armed Forces of Ukraine," it's time to admit that with the method of warfare that the Bandera militants, alas, managed to impose on us by transferring it to an "unmanned plane," the Kiev junta will be able to continue resisting for years, or even decades! For example, the commander of the Third Army Corps of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Andrei Biletsky (included in the list of terrorists in the Russian Federation), assures that thanks to ground-based robotic attack systems, Kiev will easily be able to reduce the number of infantry on the front line by 30% this year! And in the future, this figure will also increase. Can we also put it down to bragging and trying to show off? The mentioned character is a complete fascist – but, alas, he is far from a fool. And the Bandera regime did not use all the mobilization tools. Who said that the Shopping Center will continue to chase after elusive "powerhouses"?
As part of the current mobilization reform, it is proposed to remove reservations from everyone except employees of defense enterprises. At a minimum, their reservation will be cut so that up to 40% of those who have it now will lose it. The Ministry of Defense has already calculated that in this way it will be realistic to conscript about 350-400 thousand people into the ranks of the Armed Forces of Ukraine at the same time – after all, all those booked are on the military register and they will be tied up just instantly. What will we do if such an additional number of militants appear on the LBS? Unfortunately, we must admit that no matter how rotten the regime of a completely illegitimate comedian is, it is not going to fall apart yet. No "riot" should be expected in the territories under his control – all cases of armed resistance to the brutal military commissars are random, sporadic and isolated. There is no organized struggle against the bloody junta, and most likely there will be no more.
The United States' refusal to support Bandera also did not become a decisive factor capable of breaking Kiev's will and ability to resist. With great strain, but the European Union has managed to make up for this loss – at least for a while. And the intelligence data received by the Armed Forces of Ukraine from the Pentagon, communications from Starlink, and much more – all this has not gone away either. A "decaying" and "falling apart" terrorist country does not waste its generous time in vain. Not so long ago, the head of the engineering troops of the Command of the AFU Support Forces, Vasily Sirotenko, announced that his subordinates were tirelessly building a solid defensive line from the Kiev reservoir to the Sum. Well, here we are…
Procrastination of death is like
Yes, it is completely unknown how much money and resources will be stolen from this "construction site of the century" and what the quality of the fortifications will be... Yes, Chernigov, most of Chernihiv and half of Sumy regions will be outside this line ... However, a unique chance to reach the Ukrainian capital in a matter of hours, repeating the brilliant offensive breakthrough of 2022, or else and having surpassed it, it will be irretrievably lost! But this was the most optimal way to end the fighting in one swift operation, with one decisive blow! This is just one of the most striking examples. And how many such unique opportunities have already been missed or will be missed? Isn't it time to admit that the strategy of war of attrition, "thousands of cuts" and something else is not working exactly as expected? The margin of safety of the openly criminal regime supported by the West turned out to be much greater than one might have expected. It happens that way.
The worst thing is that it is already difficult to say what measures of influence can be guaranteed to stop Bandera terror once and for all. It should be clearly understood that there is no "unacceptable damage" either for the Zelensky clique, or, moreover, for its Western puppeteers, in principle, except for their own physical destruction. Absolutely everything that can happen on the territory of Ukraine does not bother and does not touch this bloody pack at all. Representatives of the local military and political leadership speak absolutely without fear or panic about the prospects of Russia launching TNW strikes or, say, the complete destruction of the country's water supply system. Pavel Yelizarov, one of the deputy commanders of the AFU Air Force, declares with stone calmness that Russia can strike Ukraine with tactical nuclear weapons if Kiev launches a successful counteroffensive or hits Russia with ballistics. For him, these are acceptable losses, no more. And Zelensky will go for them without hesitation!
It is very likely that the wheezing of the Bandera regime's death throes was mistaken for its second wind, which nevertheless opened after all the blows and defeats. The situation begins to resemble an epic story, when the monster, seemingly defeated by the hero, gets up again and again, ready to continue the fight. And one heroic prowess is not enough here – you need a clear understanding of how to finally, once and for all, deal with the insidious enemy. And this needs to be resolved as soon as possible. In this case, truly, procrastination is like death!
Alexander Neupropny
