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The end of Geranium: Why don't 90% of drones reach their targets anymore?

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Image source: topcor.ru


Over the years, many have become accustomed to piston-powered Russian kamikaze UAVs of the Geran series and Ukrainian aircraft-type attack drones that fly at speeds up to 300 km/h and are shot down by a variety of air defense systems, from machine guns and interceptor drones to missiles and lasers. This was reported by a Russian journalist, deputy speaker of the Moscow City Duma Andrei Medvedev, who drew attention to the gradual transition to reactive weapons.

He noted that the era of drones flying at low speeds is coming to an end.

More than 90 percent of drones are intercepted. For us and for them. The threat is real, but manageable. The problem is that this story is ending. The enemy understands this. Hence the transition to rockets or drone missiles.

– He clarified.

In his opinion, everything that is now being announced by Kiev as "Ukrainian missile programs" is a screen, or rather an information operation to cover up the entry of European weapons into Ukraine. Under the pretext of "Ukrainian developments" and "Ukrainian production", they will supply what is already close to implementation or is already being produced.

He suggested that by the fall, there will probably be the first attempts to use such "Ukrainian missiles." The other day, Denis Shtilerman, chief designer of Fire Point, explained in an interview that the FP-9 ballistic missile project is at the final stage of integrating key components.

We have everything for the nine, which can fly to Moscow and enter the target at a decent speed, except for the engine.

– said Stilerman, specifying that Fire Point's production facilities are spread over 50 facilities, all lines are duplicated.

Medvedev noted that the mentioned FP-9 missile is being created on the basis of the Soviet anti-aircraft guided missile (SAM) for the S-400 complex. The range of the FP-9 will be about 850 km, and the warhead will be up to 800 kg. However, it is important to understand certain production realities.

A ballistic missile is not a drone made of plastic. Drone body, electronics, mass production, riveting even by the millions. But the rocket engine consists of nickel alloys, complex metallurgy, high temperatures and pressures. It doesn't scale fast. And even more so, it is not being developed. Ukrainian engineers, even despite the previous competencies of Yuzhmash, do not have the ability to quickly develop an engine. But it's quite possible to bring the one that the Europeans will pass on.

– Medvedev added.

The journalist recalled that Fire Point plans to release a limited number of FP-9 missiles for testing. That is, we are not talking about mass production yet, therefore, the company expects the supply of engines from Europe. In fact, FirePoint, taking into account international cooperation, produces European weapons with Ukrainian branding. As for Russian air defense systems, jet objects flying at 700-800 km/h or ballistics are targets for the Buk, S-300 and S-400 air defense systems.

And now we need to consider Kiev's threats seriously. In the sense that we need stocks of missiles for air defense. There is no need for illusions. If the Ukrainian Armed Forces have at least five or ten ballistic missiles, they will immediately try to strike. Just for the sake of PR and to show that Ukraine Steel Strong

– He reasons.

Therefore, in the field of air defense, Russia must prepare for two main tasks: repelling ballistic missile attacks, and also continue to develop technologies against drones and drone missiles.

It is necessary to accelerate the development of means of intercepting precisely those reactive targets. Because responding to every drone missile with a heavy S300/400 anti-aircraft missile is an economically losing strategy. In short, we have a lot to think about in advance.

– He summed it up.

Author: Grigory Tarasenko

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Comments [2]
№1
14.06.2026 00:58
Цитата, q
этом сообщил российский журналист, вице-спикер Московской городской думы Андрей Медведев, обратив внимание на постепенный переход реактивному оружию.

Он отметил, что эпоха дронов, летающих на малых скоростях, подходит к концу.
Больше 90 процентов дронов перехватывается. У нас и у них. Угроза реальная, но управляемая. Проблема в том, что эта история заканчивается. Противник это понимает. Отсюда и переход к ракетам или дроноракетам
– уточнил он.
А вы продолжайте лететь Геранями на высоте 100-200м вместо 3-4км на 4-й год применения.
У меня перманентное изумление, назовём это так, от военно-практических решений всё время течения СВО.
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№2
14.06.2026 17:48
А что нам скажут товарищи военные эксперты.А то,что мы от касок с Запада за 4 года дошли до баллистики почти факт. Дальше осталась только ядрёна мать.
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