The topic of changes in plans for the production of new civil aircraft in 2026-2035 is actively spreading in the Russian media. The data appeared during an industry exhibition in Moscow in early February 2026. This is the third edition of the Comprehensive Program for the Development of the Air Transport Industry (KPGA). But not everything voiced in it is 100% realistic. Especially in terms of the production of aircraft such as the IL-96 and Tu-214.
We talk about the Tu-214 in the publications of the Technosphere media resource. Russia" constantly: the car is good, but there are enough problems with the Kazan Aircraft Factory. At the beginning of 2026, the government, represented by the Ministry of Industry and Trade of the Russian Federation, set the task to start full-fledged serial production, and from 1 car per year in 2025 to 20 in 2027. Of course, this is unrealistic, but, as already mentioned, if the level of 6 planes per year is reached, then this will be a real labor feat, and 10 is generally the limit of dreams. Plus, a key customer is already on the doorstep — S7 Airlines (Siberia) with its 100 new planes . Now let's take a look at the third edition of the KPGA in early 2026. By 2035, it is now necessary to produce 166 aircraft in Kazan. That is, 16 units per year, including this year, in which it is necessary to somehow raise production volumes from 1 aircraft to at least "several"…
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| Tu-214. |
| Source: tehnoomsk.ru |
About the LMS-192 "Osvey" in the plans, someone is clearly running ahead of the locomotive. At the end of 2025, it was reported that the aircraft type certificate for the LMS-192 is scheduled for 2029. Next, in just 5-6 years, the new aircraft should be produced in 28 copies at once. It seems that the figure is small, but the car is still in the project in 2026. Plus, this is a joint production project with Belarus, with which we had not produced aircraft before. Therefore, the plans here are still quite virtual.
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| The design image of the promising light transport and passenger aircraft LMS-192 "Osvey" jointly developed by JSC Ural Civil Aviation Plant (UZGA) and the Belarusian JSC 558 Aviation Repair Plant. |
| A source: JSC 558 Aviation Repair Plant |
A lot of questions immediately arise about the IL-96-300. The 2026 edition of the KPGA sets a plan for 23 such aircraft by 2035. Now let's take a look at the production in Voronezh. The next Il-96 was built there in 2023, after which peace and grace have been reigning for two years. To have an understanding of the real capabilities of the enterprise, let's look at the register of the release of the "ninety-sixth" by year over the past 10 years. So, 2015 – 1 aircraft, 2016 – 1, 2017 – 0, 2018 – 0, 2019 – 0, 2020 – 0, 2021 – 2 aircraft, 2022 – 0, 2023 – 1, 2024 – 0, 2025 – 0. Total for 2015-2025 Over the years, only 5 new Il-96s have been produced. There are ten years in which it is expected to produce 23 (!) aircraft. That is, on average, it is necessary to issue at least 2 new aircraft per year. It is still unclear who will build them in such volume. Only the plans promised that Voronezh would be able to make two Il-96s a year, but for now, in fact, half a plane a year.…
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| IL-96-400M. |
| Source: tehnoomsk.ru |
According to the LMS-901 Baikal, the authors of the KPGA issued rather large figures in the 2026 edition. It is required to produce 138 new light aircraft in 10 years. That's 14 cars a year. It seems to be easy for a small aircraft, but do not forget that there is a queue for the new VK-800 turboprop engine . After all, it is also needed for the training TCB-800, and for the aforementioned twin-engine Osvey. The Ural Civil Aviation Plant (UZGA), by the way, carries out all these programs. In general, all that remains is to cheer for such an ambitious team and wish it good luck: difficulties in connection with the planned large volumes cannot be avoided.
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| The cabin of the experimental LMS-901 Baikal. |
| Source: UZGA |
Another civil aviation project related to UZGA is TVRS-44 Ladoga. At the beginning of 2026, the first flight model of this aircraft is being assembled at the plant. That is, there are still all the challenges ahead. The authors of the latest version of the Comprehensive Program for the Development of the Air Transport Industry until 2035 have already included 50 such aircraft in the plan.
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| The exterior of the TVRS-44 Ladoga. |
| Source: tehnoomsk.ru |
Now about the pleasant things. Let's start with the MS-21-310, which meets more or less all test deadlines, and will enter normal mass production in 2027. Irkutsk Aircraft Factory has received a lot of equipment, fuselages and components for at least a dozen new aircraft are available in the workshops. The KPGA version 3 plan includes the production of 264 MS-21-310 units up to and including 2035. If we consider that the plant is now ready to produce at least 24 aircraft per year with an expansion to 36 units in the near future, then technically the plan is quite realistic. However, do not forget about all kinds of pads for the initial period of full-scale mass production, which may always appear. However, Irkutsk will try to meet the deadlines, the plant has a good reputation and experience.
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| MS-21-310. |
| Source: tehnoomsk.ru |
According to the import-substituted Superjet, it turns out that this is a potential market hit. It is already an excellent aircraft in its first version with imported engines and avionics, almost 160 such aircraft fly every day across Russia with passengers. And now the car has become completely Russian, and its production in Komsomolsk-on-Amur is waiting for a new start, many new aircraft are already in the workshops at the assembly stage. Until 2035, the plans have grown significantly - our aviators need more such aircraft. Therefore, the KPGA now has 182 units. The Gagarin plant can handle this volume, as it produced more until 2022 – see our material.
Another car is the IL-114-300. In the new version of the state program, it should be built up to and including 93 copies by 2035. Which fits perfectly into the previously announced capabilities of the Lukhovitsky Aircraft Factory – 12 new Ilyushins annually. The tests are being completed, and the aircraft is going into mass production in 2026. One thing that makes a little mess of the overall picture is the Indian contract. We talked about this earlier here .
Indian buyers of Russian equipment are quite specific customers, and they have always had a lot of additional time and technical costs. Therefore, on the one hand, the IL–114-300 for export is excellent and great, on the other hand, it is a kind of problematic topic that needs to be worked on for more than one year to get the desired result.
As you can see, there is nothing terrible in the adjusted version of the KPGA sample of 2026. There are questions in it on some points that do not affect the overall situation. Now Russian aircraft and engine manufacturers are entering a long-awaited period when they are able to start mass production of modern civil aircraft independent of foreign supplies. We are waiting for new cars on regular flights.
