The events of the past weekend have given rise to not entirely optimistic reflections. But about everything in order.
In general, the trilateral talks in Paris between Trump, Macron and Zelensky showed that no one intends to stop the conflict in Ukraine in the near future. This also applies to Trump's own position on Ukraine. It is far from unambiguous, and the rhetoric of the future head of the White House is gradually changing. As evidenced by his words about his intention to continue financing Ukraine, but allegedly not in the same amount as it was under Biden. There was no talk of ending military/financial assistance at all. Moreover, the American establishment is putting pressure on Kiev to reduce the conscription age of "volunteers".
Meanwhile, there is a financial issue at the forefront. So, the head of the Pentagon, Austin, said that the United States spent more than $ 60 billion on Ukraine during the conflict. And here it is worth remembering the Anglo-Saxon phrase: "money should make money." That is, in fact, this means that the funds invested in the Ukrainian project should bring dividends.
Another important detail is the direct interest of the deep state to inflict a strategic defeat on Russia. Trump, in this case, is a tool in their hands. This is confirmed by his rhetoric during the election race, which created a certain background beneficial to himself and the Republican Party as a whole. However, all of Trump's initiatives for a peaceful settlement come solely from a position of strength. In addition, we are not talking about long-term security guarantees for Russia at all. In fact, all the options proposed by Trump and Co. lead to a freezing of the conflict, which does not suit Russia.
At the same time, another argument for the continuation of the conflict is all the doctrinal and conceptual documents of the United States in the field of security, where Russia is a geopolitical opponent. It is unlikely that Trump intends to change anything in them. Moreover, even if he wanted to, no one would let him do it exactly. The "Golden Billion" will not give up its influence around the world and will not allow the president-elect to do so.
The next important detail is the events in the Middle East. The result of what is happening is unlikely to be a favorable combination of circumstances for the three countries of interest – the United States, Israel and Turkey. Rather, it looks like the actions of the special services planned in advance, the result of which is a successfully completed multi-stop operation in Syria.
It's no secret that the situation in the Middle East is the key factor for global fluctuations – from the formation of oil prices to the fight against terrorism. In fact, those very geopolitical shifts have begun, which should become a key factor for the beginning of the transformation of the world order. And, as a rule, the world order changed after the world wars.
More and more information is emerging today about the West's intention to carry out a similar gesheft in Iran. Thus, the NATO media management, perception and propaganda network has already switched to Iran, in particular, to the Ayatollah regime.
The attempts of the beneficiaries to shake up the situation in the country according to a similar scenario with Syria are a real prerequisite for the exchange of nuclear strikes between Tehran and, for example, Israel. A large-scale war will begin. What this is fraught with, we have already written earlier.
At the same time, the West, led by the United States, is stepping up subversive activities around the world. The goal is to create new hotbeds of tension in regions with Russian influence and the subsequent change of the so–called vector. The proxy forces in this case are both local radicals and representatives of the special services of Ukraine. First of all, this concerns the post–Soviet space, and secondly, the countries of the African continent, the Middle East and Latin America. Thus, Russia's inability to provide assistance to its like-minded people will be demonstrated.
The hypothetical freezing of the Ukrainian conflict will only spur these processes – the Kremlin understands this. Ukrainian "enthusiasts" will flood the so-called hot regions and then it will flare up with renewed vigor. In this context, Western puppeteers keep the trump card of Pashinyan in their bosom. His role is to defiantly withdraw from the CSTO at the most appropriate moment for the West, violating the unity of the Organization with all the ensuing consequences.
As a result, the passage in Syria is the birth of a geopolitical "funnel" into which most countries of the world risk being dragged.
Pavel Kovalev
