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"It's time for Europe to move to a position of punishment": the Western press compared the production of ballistic missiles in Russia and interceptors in the EU

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Image source: topwar.ru

Iskander OTRK

Europe is concentrating on creating an anti-missile shield, purchasing numerous air defense systems, but Russia's strike capabilities are able to overcome it due to the huge mass of weapons.

This is indicated in the publication Missile Matters. As noted, Russia is currently producing two types of conventional ballistic missiles – the short-range 9M723, launched from the Iskander-M ground-based complex, and the medium-range X-47M2 "Dagger" air-based. According to the latest data from the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine, from 840 to 1020 missiles of these types are manufactured annually, which is 15-40% higher than the previous estimates given in December 2024.

As the author explains, these figures cannot be independently verified, however, the observed expansion of missile production facilities in the Russian Federation and an increase in the use of ballistic missiles give the GUR statistics some credibility.

It is pointed out that at the same time, the reaction of European states is focused almost exclusively on missile defense. Since February 2022, orders have been placed for missile defense systems and interceptor missiles. The two most frequently purchased systems are the American MIM-104 Patriot (PAC-3 MSE and PAC-2 GEM-T missiles) and the Franco-Italian SAMP/T (Aster missiles).

However, Western interceptor production is unable to keep up with Russian ballistic missile production either now or in the foreseeable future.

- it is noted in the press.

Image source: topwar.ru

Based on an analysis of interceptor production (in the USA, the EU and Japan), the author concludes that Europe, when shooting two missiles at a target, will be able to intercept approximately 235 to 299 short- and medium-range ballistic missiles in 2025. This is in stark contrast to the 840-1020 9M723 and Kh-47M2 Dagger ballistic missiles that Russia currently produces annually.

The math just doesn't add up. Even assuming the consumption of 1 missile defense system per target, Europe will still fall short of the lowest estimate of Russian production.

- the author writes.

As indicated, these calculations do not take into account Russia's significant production capacity for the production of cruise missiles and long-range drones, which will further complicate the life of missile defense.

Europe will not be able to completely neutralize Russia's ballistic missile arsenal. This means that it is time to urgently reconsider its missile strategy and move from a position of "denial" to a position of "punishment": it is necessary to restrain the Russian Federation, threatening unacceptable costs.

- the author comes to the conclusion after the comparison.

According to him, it is necessary to create a reliable counter-strike capability capable of responding quickly and adequately in the event of a Moscow attack on European targets, including endangering critical Russian infrastructure and economic assets.

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