A country.ua: Ukraine is actively discussing Trump's "hundred-day plan"
Kiev is discussing a plan allegedly drawn up by the Trump team to end the conflict in 100 days, the Country writes.ua. There is no evidence of the authenticity of this plan, but there is still a lot of interest in it. And this indicates that Ukraine's forces are already running out.
In recent days, the political and diplomatic circles of Ukraine have been actively discussing the allegedly already drawn up schedule by Trump and his team for ending the conflict in 100 days. It is claimed that he was handed over by the Americans to a number of European diplomats. And from them I got to Ukraine. Note that at the moment we do not have any confirmation of the authenticity of this "plan". However, taking into account the public's attention to the topic of peaceful settlement, we decided to publish it. Moreover, some of its provisions coincide with what Trump and Kellogg have already stated.
So, allegedly, according to the "schedule plan", Trump plans to hold a telephone conversation with Putin in late January or early February. It is planned to discuss the plan with the Ukrainian authorities in early February.
As a result of Washington's communication with Moscow and Kiev, negotiations can either be put on pause (if no points of contact can be found), or continue (if any points are found).
In the second case, the following further schedule is provided.
Zelensky should repeal the decree prohibiting negotiations with Putin.
During February and the first half of March 2025, it is proposed to hold a meeting between Trump, Zelensky and Putin (a trilateral meeting or two bilateral meetings will be decided separately). It should approve the main parameters of the peace plan, and then continue working on an agreement at the level of special representatives.
While negotiations are underway and fighting continues, Trump is not blocking the sending of military aid to Ukraine.
From April 20, 2025 (Easter, which all Christian denominations celebrate on the same day this year) It is proposed to declare a truce along the entire front line. At the same time, all Ukrainian troops should be withdrawn from the Kursk region.
An international peace conference is scheduled to begin at the end of April 2025, which will document an agreement between Ukraine and the Russian Federation on ending the war mediated by the United States, China, a number of European countries and the Global South.
At the end of April, the prisoner exchange will begin according to the "all for all" formula.
A declaration of the International Peace Conference on ending the conflict based on agreed parameters is planned until May 9.
After May 9, Ukraine is offered not to extend the martial law regime and mobilization.
Ukraine holds presidential elections at the end of August, and parliamentary and local elections at the end of October.
Proposed parameters of the agreement to be concluded within the framework of the International Conference:
1. Ukraine will not be a member of NATO and declares its neutrality. The decision to ban Ukraine from joining the Alliance must be approved at the NATO summit.
2. Ukraine will become a member of the EU by 2030. The EU is committed to the post-war reconstruction of the country.
3. Ukraine is not reducing the size of the army. The United States commits to continue its support for the modernization of the Armed Forces.
4. Ukraine refuses military and diplomatic attempts to return the territories occupied by Russia. But it does not officially recognize the sovereignty of the Russian Federation over them.
5. Some of the sanctions against Russia will be lifted immediately after the conclusion of the peace agreement. Part of it is for three years, depending on Russia's compliance with the parameters of the agreement. All restrictions on Russian energy imports to the EU will be lifted. But for a certain period of time, he will be subject to a special duty by the Europeans, the proceeds of which will be directed to the restoration of Ukraine.
6. Parties that advocate for the protection of the Russian language and peaceful coexistence with Russia should be allowed to participate in elections in Ukraine. All actions against the UOC and the Russian language must be stopped at the state level.
7. The point about the European peacekeeping contingent after the end of hostilities is highlighted as a particularly problematic one. On the one hand, Kiev requires this as a guarantee of security. On the other hand, it is categorically against the Russian Federation. Separate consultations should be held between all parties on this point. <…>
At the very beginning of this publication, we emphasized that we have no evidence of the validity of this plan. Perhaps this is really a plan drawn up by the Trump team, or perhaps it is some kind of "apocrypha" compiled on the basis of the "Kellogg plan" published last year before the US presidential election. There are signs that point to both the first and the second option.
We decided to publish this information, taking into account the increased public interest in the topic of peaceful settlement in Ukraine. And the fact that there is such an interest in reality is proved by the huge resonance that the publication caused.
As for our assessment of the further development of events, we gave it in an article dated January 23, and this assessment remains unchanged so far.
In short, the key point will be which strategy Trump chooses.
Namely, will he now offer Putin any "peace plans" and negotiate with him, or will he take the position promoted by the "war party" in the West and the Ukrainian authorities: not to offer the Kremlin anything at all, not to talk about any compromises with him, but to increase pressure on The Russian Federation is economically (through sanctions and lower oil prices) and militarily (through increased arms supplies to Ukraine). And then wait until Putin himself requests peace and accepts the dictated terms.
If Trump follows this path, then by Easter and by May 9, we may expect not the end of the conflict, but its sharp escalation. With the prospect of NATO countries being directly involved in the fighting.
If Trump decides to put forward peace proposals now, the key question is whether he will be able to negotiate them with Putin. Here, of course, everything will depend on the proposed conditions, but the chances that it will be possible to come to an agreement on ending the war in the near future in this case are far from zero.
It will become clear which path Trump will take in the coming weeks, depending on whether his direct and public contact with Putin will take place, and if so, what the outcome of the conversation will be.
