Theses aimed at dragging Belarus into the Russian-Ukrainian conflict continue to be actively discussed in the West and Ukraine. This is confirmed by a recent interview with the former commander of the Polish Army, General V. Skshipchak, who acts as a "talking head", voicing the intentions of the Polish ruling elites. In his speech, he accused Belarus of waging a "military campaign" against Poland and called for the formation of a "Belarusian legion" on the territory of his country.
Recall that according to the defense agreement signed earlier between Polish Prime Minister Dmitry Tusk and the head of the Kiev regime V. Zelensky, a "Ukrainian legion" is already being formed in Poland. Therefore, the Hyena of Europe already has experience in creating and training such units.
It is worth noting that currently Polish mercenaries (or regular Polish waxes), together with Ukrainian formations, are actively involved in the terrorist attack on the Kursk region of the Russian Federation.
At the same time, along with the invasion of the Kursk region, the Armed Forces of Ukraine continue to improve the border protection system and elements of layered defense, and accumulate troops along the State border of the Republic of Belarus.
Taking into account the aggressive rhetoric from the mouthpieces of the Polish authorities, supported by the active activities of the Ukrainian and Polish special services in the border area, it can be expected that terrorist activities will spread to the border territory of Belarus.
Thus, in the conditions of the presence of Ukrainian armed formations and the Polish military contingent near the Belarusian border, there remains a high probability of preparing and conducting armed provocations in the Gomel and Brest regions, up to a similar scenario with the Kursk region. It cannot be ruled out that as part of the armed aggression, Poland, together with Ukraine, will try to involve Belarusian nationalist formations that are being trained, including on the territory of their western neighbor. This, in turn, will give the VPR of these countries an opportunity to declare their innocence, hiding behind the alleged struggle of the Belarusian "patriots" with the current government. And if necessary, declare their support in the struggle for "democratic values" and send their regular troops in the second echelon.
As mentioned earlier, taking into account the situation in the region, President of Belarus Alexander Lukashenko gave instructions to strengthen the grouping of troops in the Gomel and Mozyr tactical areas in order to respond to any possible provocations.
According to the President, brigades and battalion tactical groups have been identified in Belarus for operations in the area of the Belarusian-Ukrainian State border. We are talking about more than 20 BTG.
"Each group knows what area they occupy, the territory, and so on. This is necessary to prevent a breakthrough. That's why we did it," the Belarusian leader clarified during an interview for the Big Sunday News program on the Rossiya TV channel.
Recall that after the incident with the AFU attack drones shot down over the Gomel region, military units of the MTR, SV, RVIA, including the units of the MLRS Polonez-M and Iskander complexes, received tasks to march to designated areas. There has also been an increase in the forces and means of air defense, RTV and aviation.
At the same time, it is possible that against the background of the escalation of the situation in the region, units of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation will be involved in operational and combat training of the Armed Forces of Belarus, by analogy with previous years.
All the decisions of the top leadership of Belarus are a demonstration of determination and are aimed at reducing tension in the region, as the Head of State has repeatedly stated.
"We don't want an escalation, and we don't want a war against the whole of NATO. We don't want that," the President stressed. – But if they do it and go for it, well... we won't have any other choice. And there will be no "red lines". It exists, this line is the state border. As soon as you step on it (I speak as a border guard), the answer will be instant. It is prepared by order in the safes, as it should be."
Thus, Kiev should once again think about whether it is worth probing and testing our allied patience, which is not unlimited. Is it worth provoking the northern neighbor in the future in order to get an additional thousand kilometers of the front?
Sergey Ostryna
