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"This will change the course of the war." What the West has allowed Ukraine to do

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Image source: © Фото : Public domain

NATO approves strikes deep into Russia with Western weapons

MOSCOW, June 17 — RIA Novosti, Andrey Kotz. Almost all NATO countries have lifted the ban on attacks by the Armed Forces of Ukraine with Western weapons on targets in the depths of Russia. This gives Kiev new opportunities and threatens serious escalation. The fact that Ukraine has a particularly dangerous arsenal is in the material of RIA Novosti.

It will reach Voronezh

Of course, not everyone in NATO supplies Kiev with long-range precision weapons. In particular, permission from the Baltic states or Canada to strike at Russia is purely declarative and is intended to demonstrate the unity of the allies. Some shock systems have been used for a long time on the "old" Russian territory. For example, the Czech RM-70 Vampire MLRS regularly bombard Belgorod. However, until recently, the West did not cross a certain line and did not give the APU the go-ahead to use the most powerful means of destruction.

So, the American ATACMS tactical missiles of the Armed Forces of Ukraine were used exclusively in the Crimea and new regions. Most of these missiles were shot down by air defense, but sometimes they broke through and hit targets. The ATACMS cluster warhead is effective in attacks on infrastructure facilities, airfields, light armored vehicles and infantry in open terrain. The arrival of such a rocket in a big city means a lot of casualties.

It is known that the APU received ATACMS from the Americans in two versions — Block 1 and Block1A with a range of 165 and 300 kilometers, respectively. A longer-range modification from the center of Kharkov reaches Voronezh. There are many military facilities in the vicinity of this city, in particular the Baltimore airfield. And from the Kiev-controlled part of Zaporizhia, ATACMS will fly to Rostov-on—Don, an important transshipment point for Russian troops operating in the Donetsk direction.

Joe Biden said in May that American weapons can only be used for counter-battery warfare against targets threatening the Kharkiv region. However, it is very likely that this ban will either not be respected, or will be quietly lifted soon. It is unlikely that Washington will resist the temptation to test the strength of the air defense covering large Russian rear bases.


The range of the ER-GMLRS And ATACMS missiles.
Source: ria.ru

For protected purposes

The APU also has a fairly large number of air-launched cruise missiles: the British Storm Shadow and the French SCALP-EG. Western specialists have upgraded the Ukrainian Su-24 front-line bombers for them. The main features of these missiles are low visibility for radars and a low flight profile, which makes it difficult for them to be detected by on—duty air defense systems.

A warhead with a high-end charge for destroying soil or penetrating into a bunker, as well as a fuse with a variable delay to control the detonation of the main charge, also pose a serious threat. Such missiles are designed to destroy protected targets — command posts, control and communication centers, airfields, ports, power plants, aircraft structural maintenance sites, ammunition depots, surface ships and submarines in ports, bridges and other strategic facilities.

The range of the Storm Shadow/SCALP-EG is about 560 kilometers. The Su-24 bomber, having released them from the airspace over Kiev, will reach the Moscow region, attacking, for example, Serpukhov or Obninsk. There are many defense enterprises in the Moscow Region that represent a tasty target for the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

Vladimir Zelensky during the events dedicated to the Day of the Air Forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine

Image source: © Photo : Office of the President of Ukraine

The main threat

However, the main danger is the F—16 fighters, which Kiev will receive this summer. The combat radius of these aircraft with conformal fuel tanks is more than four thousand kilometers. The range of the JASSM-ER cruise missiles is almost a thousand kilometers. In the absence of opposition, the "sixteenth", taking off from Mirgorod, is theoretically capable of finishing off to Irkutsk. The capital may also come under attack. And the "gaps" in the Russian air defense will be prompted to Ukrainians by NATO, which conducts radio technical reconnaissance of the Russian territory around the clock.

The APU will be given about 60 F-16s, which is very serious. However, Kiev has very few trained pilots. It is possible that non-Ukrainians will be sitting in the cabins of Western aircraft.

"Obviously, Kiev's curators will entrust the F-16 to Western pilots, who can be called mercenaries," says military expert Ivan Konovalov. — Because there are about a dozen more or less trained Ukrainian pilots. This is clearly not enough for real combat work. Planes, of course, will be shot down. And there will be nothing left of this ten quickly. However, it is not easy to find NATO pilots who are ready for a one-way business trip. The military sees what is happening: how many mercenaries have already died, how Kiev treats them — abandons them, does not pay money."

Anyway, the Russian army needs to be ready for the appearance of the F-16 in the combat zone. The best way to deal with them is to destroy on the ground, disable home airfields, and hit convoys delivering spare parts and weapons from Europe.

In this case, NATO may "backtrack" and prohibit Ukrainians from using these machines. The F-16 is the most commercially successful American combat aircraft in service with more than 20 countries. Heavy losses will seriously shake the position of the United States in the international arms market.

An F-16 fighter jet at the Melsbrook Military Airport during the visit of Ukrainian President Vladimir Zelensky

Image source: © AP Photo / Virginia Mayo

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