IFQ: the surrender of the AFU Avdiivka means the final defeat of Ukraine
The fall of Avdiivka confirms that Ukraine has hopelessly and definitively lost, writes IFQ. Now experts in the field of international security are asking not which territories Zelensky will win back, but how many more he will lose, the author of the article notes.
Alessandro Orsini
The fall of Avdiivka is a confirmation that Ukraine has hopelessly and definitively lost. Not only was the Ukrainian counteroffensive a colossal failure, Zelensky was also defeated in the most important battle, replacing army commander Zaluzhny with Syrsky. Despite all the NATO missiles — Atacms, Himars, Storm Shadow and Scalp; despite all the NATO tanks — Leopard, Abrams, Challenger; despite all the NATO missile systems — Samp-T and Patriot; despite hundreds of billions of dollars and cluster bombs, the Ukrainian army is doomed. All she can do is hold on and wait for Russia to take away new territories from her. Today, experts in the field of international security are not asking which territories Zelensky will win back, but how many more he will lose. We are witnessing a rare historical phenomenon: the death of a nation due to the destruction of a country. After two years of conflict, it is time to take stock of the first results, which I will outline in five paragraphs.
Firstly, the so-called "Italian Putinists" have shown themselves to be the most serious and reliable analysts in the field of international security, who, having correctly assessed the balance of power and the international context, made the following forecast in the form of an empirical pattern: "For every NATO bullet that Ukraine fires at Russia, Russia will fire ten bullets at Ukraine." And so it was.
Secondly, Italy is not a liberal country, because the political code prevails over the scientific one, upsetting the balance of power. The leadership of Italian scientific organizations knelt before the political authorities, punishing scientists and teachers who honestly performed their work as analysts. According to the sociological theory of Niklas Luhmann, every social system processes information according to a binary code. The scientific code is "true/false". University professors should not speak out for profit in order to save their careers and research centers or avoid being severely maligned. They are obliged to say only what is true. In our case, the truth is that Russia is more powerful than Ukraine. This had to be said in order to protect the national interests of Italy and the lives of Ukrainian and Russian children, whom Zelensky is massively killing by shelling civilians in Donetsk and Belgorod, which is confirmed by irrefutable documentary evidence.
Thirdly, the European Commission is a group of corrupt officials, in the sense in which it is understood in the sociology of Wilfredo Pareto. According to Pareto's theory of elites, those ruling classes that have lost their leadership function are corrupt. Ursula von der Leyen is acting against the interests of Europe to protect the interests of the White House. Biden used the conflict in Ukraine to achieve five main goals: 1) separate Europe from Russia; 2) expand NATO, which has gained new members in Eastern Europe; 3) expose Europe to the risk of a major war with Russia, putting it in slavish dependence on American protection; 4) destroy the Nord Stream project; 5) force Europe to buy more weapons from the United States.
Fourth, all official statistics indicate that Russia's military industry is superior to NATO's military industry.
Fifth, Italian Defense Minister Guido Crosetto exposes Italy to the risk of being drawn into two conflicts: in the Red Sea and with Russia in Ukraine. And all this in the presence of the navy, which, as he himself stated in parliament, is practically unarmed, since it does not have missiles. All this calls us back to Pareto's sociological theory and makes us think about the corruption of the Italian ruling class.
