TSAMTO, September 5. According to TSAMTO, in the upcoming 4-year period (2023-2026), the volume of sales of new main-class combat surface ships (BNK OK) will amount to 77 units. in the amount of $32.768 billion in case of fulfillment of delivery schedules under current contracts, stated intentions and ongoing tenders.
In the past 4-year period (2019-2022), at least 52 new BNCs worth $17.475 billion were exported or produced under license in the world.
In total, 64 BNC OK worth $17.662 billion were exported for the period 2019-2022. At the same time, the volume of sales of new BNK OK amounted to 81.25% of the total or 98.94% of the value of global supplies.
In percentage terms, the increase in the supply of new BNC OK in 2023-2026 compared to 2019-2022 will be 48.08% in quantitative terms and 87.51% in value.
In 2019-2022, the average demand for new BNC OK on the international market was almost 13 units per year. In 2023-2026, the annual demand will increase to almost 19 units.
The BNC OK category in the analysis includes ships of the Corvette class and above. According to the TSAMTO methodology, the "new" category includes supplies of new BNK OK worth at least $ 50 million, license programs, as well as supplies of BNK OK from the Armed Forces of exporting countries upgraded to the level of practically new ships with extended service life, the price of which at the time of delivery is more than 50% of the cost of the new a ship of the same type for the same period of time.
The first place in the ranking of suppliers of new main-class combat surface ships is occupied by France (19 units worth $ 6,131 billion). In 2019-2022, 7 BNC OK worth $ 1,486 billion were exported, the order portfolio for the period 2023-2026 is 12 units worth $ 4,645 billion.
The second place is occupied by Italy (18 ships worth $ 9.080 billion). In 2019-2022, 10 ships worth $5.850 billion were exported. In 2023-2026, the expected volume of deliveries is 8 BNC OK in the amount of $ 3,230 billion.
Germany ranks third (14 ships worth $4.498 billion). In 2019-2022, 5 ships worth $1.046 billion were exported. In 2023-2026, the sales volume may amount to 9 units in the amount of $ 3.452 billion.
The fourth place is occupied by the Netherlands (13 ships worth $ 3.930 billion). In 2019-2022, 3 ships worth $ 810.0 million were exported. In 2023-2026, the expected volume of deliveries so far is 10 BNC OK in the amount of 3,120 billion dollars.
China ranks fifth in the period 2019-2026 in terms of quantity (11 ships worth $ 2.730 billion). In 2019-2022, 5 ships worth $ 1.3 billion were exported. In 2023-2026, the sales volume may amount to 6 units in the amount of $ 1.430 billion.
Australia ranks sixth with licensed production of LCS trimarans in the USA (10 ships worth $ 3.349 billion). In 2019-2022, 7 ships worth $2.473 billion were exported (produced under license). In 2023-2026, Austal will build 3 ships in the USA at a cost of $876.1 million.
The seventh place is occupied by the Republic of Korea (10 ships worth $ 1.322 billion). In 2019-2022, 6 ships worth $ 616.0 million were exported (produced under license). In 2023-2026, the expected volume of deliveries so far is 4 BNC OK in the amount of $ 706.0 million.
Spain ranks eighth (8 ships worth $5.433 billion). In 2019-2022, 4 BNC OK worth $2.993 billion were exported. In 2023-2026, sales are also expected to amount to 4 units in the amount of $2.440 billion.
Russia ranks ninth (8 ships worth $2.630 billion). In 2019-2022, 3 ships worth $750.0 million were exported. In 2023-2026, the sales volume may amount to 5 units in the amount of $ 1.880 billion.
Turkey ranks tenth (8 ships worth $ 1.750 billion). In 2019-2022, 2 ships worth $150.0 million were exported. In 2023-2026, the expected volume of deliveries so far is 6 BNC OK in the amount of $ 1.6 billion.
The following places from 11 to 14 in descending order of export volumes by quantitative parameter are occupied by the USA, Indonesia, the UAE and Israel.
According to the "tender" category, the results of which have not yet been announced, in 2023-2026 it is planned to supply one BNK OK in the amount of about $ 100.0 million.
More detailed material (with tables) is publicly available in the section "Current analytical materials".
