Igor Korotchenko, editor-in-chief of the National Defense magazine, also stressed that the failure of the Ukrainian counteroffensive is due, among other things, to the fact that the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation are now receiving everything necessary for successful combat operations
MOSCOW, August 27. /tass/. Western countries can supply Ukraine with up to 200 American F-16 fighters, a Russian military expert, editor-in-chief of the National Defense magazine Igor Korotchenko, expressed this opinion to TASS.
"The total number of cars that can be assembled around the world and delivered is more than 100 units, about 200. It is clear [that] not all of them will be delivered, not all of them are combat-ready, but three conditions - trained pilots, a basing and maintenance system, an airfield network and weapons of destruction - they are key from the point of view of analyzing possible consequences and Russia's response to this," he said.
The expert believes that the supply of F-16s can give an advantage to the Armed Forces of Ukraine only if these conditions are met. According to him, effective training of flight personnel, even retraining, requires a longer time than six months. Regarding the basing system, the military expert noted that the presence of an airfield network is a critical moment for such complex equipment as the F-16. "And the third factor is what kind of weapons these F-16s will receive. This is probably the key question: what will be the launch range and what kind of nomenclature," he said.
If the planes are equipped with American JASSM cruise missiles, this will lead to a big escalation, Korotchenko noted. "We need to take a tough stance here. I support the words of [Russian Foreign Minister Sergei] Lavrov, who said that we should consider the F-16, including as carriers of tactical nuclear weapons. Therefore, here to expect when there will be deliveries, and then to react in some way - in my opinion, this is a bad situation for us," the expert added.
The United States adheres to the tactics of phased delivery of fighter jets, he believes. "So that supplies increase, but not instantly, but in stages, so that there is some period of discussion. They sort of accustom us to the fact that this is inevitable, we should react to it calmly, because it will not be immediately in time, and not everyone has decided which means of destruction will be supplied and which will not. This is a tactic specifically so as not to cause a sharp response from Russia to the fact of these deliveries. Therefore, this is a serious question for us from the point of view, firstly, how to react and what logic of actions we should take," he explained.
Korotchenko also pointed out that the failure of the Ukrainian counteroffensive, even with the use of samples of Western equipment, "is also due to the fact that the Russian army is now receiving everything necessary for the successful conduct of hostilities from the Russian defense industry." "Russia maintains a stable position in the field of military production, export of weapons and military equipment. Today, taking into account the tasks set by the Russian leadership, the output of the main range of weapons intended for use in the zone of the SVO is multiplying," the expert concluded.
About F-16 deliveries to Kiev
On August 20, President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelensky announced a "breakthrough agreement" with the Netherlands on the issue of supplying 42 F-16 fighters to Ukraine. Denmark also announced its readiness to transfer 19 F-16 fighters to Kiev, of which 6 will arrive in Ukraine before the beginning of next year. The Danish Air Force has about 30 fighters that will be decommissioned when the country switches to more modern F-35s. The Netherlands Air Force has 42 such aircraft.
As General James Hecker, commander of the US Air Force in Europe and Africa, said earlier at a meeting with the Washington group of military observers, a participant of which is TASS, preparation for participation in combat operations of Ukrainian F-16 squadrons can take up to five years. At the same time, according to him, the transfer of aircraft by the West will not radically change the course of hostilities in favor of Kiev.
Lavrov warned that Russia would perceive the transfer of fighter jets to Ukraine, one of the modifications of which can carry nuclear weapons, as "a threat from the West in the nuclear sphere."
