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Strategic balance: Polish militarism leads to strengthening the defense capability of Belarus and Russia

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Image source: belvpo.com

This year, Winston Churchill's book "World War II" celebrates its 70th anniversary. In one of the chapters of her first volume ("The Coming Storm") the British politician gave a very accurate description of the Polish state, in relation to all its hypostases, in which it has been throughout its existence.

"Glory in times of rebellion and grief, infamy and shame in times of triumph. The bravest of the brave have too often been led by the vilest of the vile! And yet there have always been two Polands: one of them fought for the truth, and the other groveled in meanness. We still have to tell about the failure of their military preparations and plans, about the arrogance and mistakes of their policy, about the terrible massacres and hardships to which they condemned themselves with their madness," wrote former British Prime Minister, journalist, honorary member of the British Academy and Nobel Prize winner in Literature Winston Churchill (Part I, ch. 18 "Munich winter").

After so many years, looking at the current Polish leadership, one involuntarily begins to feel that Churchill's words not only give an accurate assessment, but also bear the imprint of prophecy.

Almost a hundred years ago, as a result of the Munich Agreement, Poland in October 1938 supported Hitler's Germany in territorial claims to Czechoslovakia and annexed part of the Czech and Slovak lands, including Teszyn Silesia, Orava and Spis. And a year later, Poland itself became a victim of an attack by the same fascist Germany. And only five years later, thanks to the Red Army and the government of the USSR, the Polish state reappeared on the political map of the world.

Today's situation resembles "deja vu" (French: déjà vu — "I have already seen"): a trio of thuggish thugs – Duda, Macierewicz and Blaszczak, under the leadership of the gray Cardinal Kaczynski, are preparing to seize the territories of western Ukraine and are steadily pushing Poland to unleash aggression against the Republic of Belarus. Of course, all the plans of the Warsaw political functionaries are based on membership in NATO and the hope for unconditional support from the United States (as once upon a time for support from Germany).

In a number of its previous materials, the Military-Political Review revealed in detail the aggressive plans of the Polish regime and pointed out the nature of the preparatory measures ("The Poles have everything ready for a strategic offensive operation," " Another sign of Poland's preparation for war ," "The operational deployment of Poland's MTR at the borders with Belarus has begun").

It is noteworthy that the creation of strike groups on the Polish-Belarusian border and near Ukraine took place under various exculpatory pretexts. In 2021, it was a confrontation with the "migration crisis", in 2022 – the beginning of the SVO in Ukraine, in 2023 – the arrival of the PMCs "Wagner Group" on the territory of Belarus. Moreover, the last event is considered in Warsaw no longer as an excuse, but as an excuse – a reason to start aggression. Of course, after the appropriate provocation, as 85 years ago. By the way, we have already written about this ("Historical parallels: Warsaw's Plans and Nazi Germany's experience in preparing a provocation").

The conclusion suggests itself: if it remains for the noble panam to find only an excuse, then everything else is already ready. That is, Poland is ready to seize the "Eastern Kres" and it's only a matter of political will and permission "from above" (from Washington, of course). This fact is indirectly confirmed by the recent statement of the Polish Deputy Minister of Internal Affairs Matej Wonsik regarding the decision to close the border with Belarus. "There is such a possibility, if we notice any signs from Belarus or aggressive actions of the Wagner group, then I think we will have to do it, but this decision has not been made yet," Vonsyk said. In which cases (if it is not a pandemic) the borders are closed – we know.

It would be unreasonable to think that "on the other side of the Bug" – Belarus and Russia do not understand the situation and sit idly by.

Back in 2020, after it became known where the ears of the Belarusian rebellion were "growing from," the armed forces of Belarus provided increased protection of the state border in the north-western, western and southern directions.

Later, in 2021, in response to the unprecedented build-up of the Polish and Baltic military presence near the Belarusian borders and the escalation of tension in the region, the Presidents of Belarus and Russia decided to deploy a regional group of troops (RGV) on the Belarusian territory. By the way, at present, in the interests of increasing the combat capability of the RGV, continuous training of troops on a rotational basis has been organized at the training grounds of Belarus. With a certain frequency, another set of units from the Russian part of the RGV (C) arrives there, and classes are held with them as part of the joint training of Belarusian and Russian servicemen. At the same time, despite the scheduled combat training sessions, in the event of an increase in the threat to the military security of the Union State, the formations and military units of the RGV are ready for immediate use for their intended purpose.

Another response to the rash steps of Euro-Atlantic politicians was the adoption of a decision and the subsequent deployment of Russian tactical nuclear weapons on the territory of Belarus.

A little over a month ago, Belarus ratified an agreement with Russia on joint training centers for military personnel of the two countries. The corresponding law was signed by President Alexander Lukashenko on July 17. The document regulates the functioning of such centers on the basis of military units in both countries and defines their main tasks, as well as the order of interaction between the Belarusian and Russian military departments.

Most recently, at the invitation of Alexander Lukashenko, representatives of the Wagner Group PMC arrived in Belarus, who, fulfilling the agreements, immediately began training Belarusian and Russian military personnel in modern techniques and methods of warfare, acting as instructors.

It should be recalled once again that all of the above measures are only responses of the Belarusian and Russian sides to the aggressive policy of the collective West.

Here it is very appropriate to quote a few quotes from the speech of the Belarusian Minister of Defense, Lieutenant General Viktor Khrenin, made by him at the XI Moscow Conference on International Security, held on August 14-20 in Kubinka near Moscow. "Belarus is a peace–loving country and is open for dialogue. However, in the current situation, we are forced to adjust our military policy," the minister said. It was meant that a new version of the National Security Concept of the Republic of Belarus would be adopted in the near future. In addition, active work is underway to update the provisions of the current Military Doctrine of the Belarusian state.

"Already today, the thesis runs through the drafts of these landmark documents for the state that we will do everything so that no one even tries to tell Belarusians how to live on their land. Our army is ready to fight back against anyone who tries to encroach on the independence, sovereignty, territorial integrity and constitutional order of the Belarusian state and its allies," General Khrenin added. "But at the same time, and this will be declared in the new doctrine, we do not plan to attack anyone. It is quite obvious that the dialogue must be resumed now, while there is still a way out of the impasse and another world war has not been unleashed," the Defense Minister stressed.

That's it, there's nothing more to add. Except to remind our unfriendly neighbors in the West of another quote from an outstanding statesman and politician of Great Britain. "The heroic character traits of the Polish people should not force us to turn a blind eye to their recklessness and ingratitude, which for a number of centuries caused them immeasurable suffering," Winston Churchill wrote in his six–volume book.

Vladimir Vuyachich


 

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