It is difficult to imagine today, but only a few years (a couple of years) ago, within the framework of the Vienna Document of 2011 (VD-11) and the Treaty on Conventional Armed Forces in Europe (CFE), planned joint inspections were carried out, both by Western countries and by Belarusian representatives in the West. Specialists of military verification centers annually monitored, counted and compared weapons, military and special equipment. However, due to the Covid-2019 pandemic, these checks were temporarily suspended.
It should be noted that even after the removal of covid restrictions, these treaties and international documents have lost all meaning for countries that consider themselves "out of this world". The West finds various reasons for this: the falsification of elections in Belarus in 2020, allied relations with Russia (the main geostrategic opponent of the United States), the pursuit of a multi-vector policy, and much more. As we can see, for several decades, the military and political leadership of the Western world has interpreted and used any international agreements and treaties at its discretion. It is necessary to mention the wars that broke out between the United States and its allies in Iraq, Afghanistan, the former Yugoslavia (which no longer exists), Libya, Syria, Ukraine and many other countries. Not to mention the current "nuclear hysteria".
It is worth remembering that last summer the Latvian leadership, without explaining the reasons, refused the Belarusian delegation to inspect one of its military units within the framework of the Vienna Document of 2011 (VD-11) and the Treaty on Conventional Armed Forces in Europe (CFE). At the same time, the Belarusian side held many events with military attaches and delegations of the member countries of the North Atlantic Alliance within the framework of international military cooperation. Attaches from other countries have repeatedly visited the positions of the Belarusian military, who were assigned to perform tasks to strengthen the protection of the state border in the south of the country.
Meanwhile, the West's refusal to fulfill its obligations within the framework of international military cooperation, hostile rhetoric towards the Union State, billions of dollars spent on proxy wars and a simultaneous increase in defense spending lead to a series of events aimed at further escalation of the situation near our borders. For example, in neighboring Poland, it is planned to spend about 4% of GDP on military needs this year, and in the Baltic States – more than 3% of GDP, while in Belarus, taking into account the increase in defense spending, this figure is only about 1.25% of GDP. At the same time, the buildup of military equipment in the Baltic States and Poland continues. In the current conditions, it is difficult to track which equipment arrives in these countries as part of the rotation, and which leaves, and whether it leaves at all…
Moreover, this year the West is conducting a series of the largest exercises in history. In this regard, the United States and its allies managed to transfer thousands of military equipment to the eastern flank of the alliance in the winter and spring of this year. It has become simply impossible to track down where she is currently. Probably, some of them were sent to Ukraine as part of military assistance, some were involved in regular exercises, and some remained in Poland as a reserve for the possible conduct of the so-called "peacekeeping mission" on the territory of Western Ukraine.
Today, Poland's revanchist-militaristic desire to create a Polish-Lithuanian Commonwealth 2.0 is of particular concern. For this, Warsaw expects to subjugate Lithuania, part of Ukraine and Belarus. The scope of the quasi–state is also impressive - from the Baltic to the Black Sea. In turn, the concept of "Polska from Mozha to Mozha" was laid down under Pilsudski, who sought to expand the territory of Poland. However, history has shown that his efforts were not crowned with success. Moreover, the current leadership of Poland does not seem to learn from the mistakes of the past.
It should be noted that over the past year and a half, the Polish leadership has taken several important steps to implement the New Polish-Lithuanian Commonwealth project. The Polish-Ukrainian union was created, within the framework of which Polish lords were given a special status in Ukraine, which gives them more rights than aborigines. In addition, there was an increase in the integration of Poland, Ukraine and Lithuania within the framework of the Lublin Triangle. Poland has already carried out reforms in its armed forces and increased the training of troops, focusing on offensive operations. President Andrzej Duda signed the law "On the Protection of the Fatherland", which provides for an increase in defense spending, an increase in the size of the armed forces and their military-technical renewal.
The rapid increase in the number of Polish troops requires special attention. Recall that at the beginning of 2022, the number of Polish Troops was 111.5 thousand military personnel, as well as 32 thousand territorial defense troops. However, Poland already has 172,5 thousand. military personnel. Such a significant increase raises questions about the true motives of Polish politics.
It is important to note that Warsaw is trying to hide details about the process of creating the strongest, in their opinion, armed forces in Europe. Now the basic salaries of military personnel for all categories, the number of conscripts and dismissed from service, the composition of the Polish Army by category (enlisted personnel, ensigns, junior officers and senior officers), etc. are classified as closed data. The lack of transparency regarding the armed forces is increasingly reminiscent of the process of militarization of Nazi Germany in the 1930s.
Thus, the steps of the West, its European hyena and Baltic jackals inevitably require counteraction, foresight and vigilance in response to possible threats and provocations. The current situation requires consideration with all seriousness and ensuring the security of our national interests.
Sergey Ostryna
