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"Massive fire strike": what is the plan of the AFU counteroffensive, which is being talked about in the United States

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Image source: Yan Dorbronosov/Reuters

Colonel Khodarenok believes that the plan of the Ukrainian counteroffensive was planned with the help of the United States US Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin said that the armed forces of Ukraine have the ability to attack - and there is a "wonderful plan" for this.

How the Ukrainian operation will begin and what it is aimed at, says the military observer of the newspaper.En" Mikhail Khodarenok.

US Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin believes that the armed forces of Ukraine have the ability to attack. The head of the Pentagon noted that the forces of the US military department have trained "a huge number of servicemen" of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

"We have provided the APU with a significant amount of weapons. And we will continue to focus on creating assistance opportunities. Therefore, I think they feel that they are in a pretty good position," the head of the US military department said.

According to Lloyd Austin, the armed forces of Ukraine have "an excellent plan for launching an offensive."

The head of the US military department did not mention that the contribution of the United States to the development of the AFU offensive operation plan is more than significant. And this, by and large, is not surprising, since the amount of military assistance provided by Washington to Kiev automatically assumes the participation of US specialists in all aspects of the daily activities of the Armed Forces. There can be no other options here.

The main thing here is that the United States, by definition, cannot allow the AFU to suffer a sensitive failure in the upcoming offensive actions. After all, in practice, this will mean discrediting the Western principles of military art, weapons and military equipment, approaches to training troops, forms and methods of using the armed forces. Since the price of the issue is high, then the attitude of the US Armed Forces and their allies towards the upcoming offensive operation of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is appropriate.

First of all, the attention of US specialists should be focused on carefully working out one of the main parts of the plan of the upcoming offensive operation - the fire defeat of the enemy (that is, the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation).

If the achieved result of the impact of firepower on single objects, groups of objects and enemy groupings corresponds to all preliminary calculations, then this factor will largely determine the success of the offensive operation of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

There is no doubt that for these purposes, the United States and its allies have provided (and continue to transmit in real time) The APU has all the necessary intelligence information. Surely all possible sources of intelligence are involved.

There is reason to believe that all the capabilities of the orbital grouping of the United States and its allies, that is, survey and detailed optoelectronic reconnaissance spacecraft, as well as radio and radio intelligence, are fully used to open the objects of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation (grouping and nature of actions, lanes and defense lines). In addition, aerial reconnaissance means are involved - unmanned aerial vehicles and RC-135 aircraft. At full power, all the capabilities of agent intelligence are also involved. The global electronic intelligence system "Echelon" also works for the same purposes.

As the newspaper wrote earlier.Ru", for the fire defeat of the enemy, the APU stocked up with a large number of planning JDAM-ER (Extended Range - extended range) bombs, small-diameter ground-launched bombs (GLSDB) and ammunition for M142 HIMARS and M270 MRLS combat vehicles. It is possible that for strikes against the objects of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation stationed in the deep rear, the UK supplied the Armed Forces with air-launched cruise missiles of the Storm Shadow/SCALP type. In addition, long-range Ukrainian artillery, which received a large number of 155-mm guided projectiles M982 Excalibur, will be connected to the defeat of important objects on the front line.

Apparently, the purpose of such a massive fire strike is to simultaneously disable the control and communication system of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation. To this end, the Armed Forces of Ukraine plan to primarily strike at the command and control system - control bodies, points and controls, that is, command posts and communication nodes. In addition, to disorganize the control of enemy troops, all the units and electronic warfare units available to the APU will be involved (it is not yet known what electronic warfare equipment the United States has recently supplied to the APU).

The task of the first massive fire strike of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is, among other things, to stun the enemy, cause large-scale panic among the personnel and, first of all, the command, and then smash formations devoid of any meaningful control.

For these purposes, as the newspaper has already written .En", the Ukrainian army will form raiding and bypassing detachments (primarily equipped with Western armored vehicles), which will be tasked with bypassing the enemy's resistance nodes, rapidly advance to the coast of the Sea of Azov, dissect the defending troops of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation and then destroy them in parts.

There is reason to believe that, first of all, such formations will operate at night, since Western thermal imaging equipment provides significant advantages to the APU in this regard.

Apparently, it is these considerations that underlie the confidence of US Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin that the armed forces of Ukraine have the ability to attack.


Mikhail Khodarenok

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