GT: the idea of the unification of China and Russia in Ukraine horrified the WestChina's empty accusations of selling weapons to Russia are a "preemptive strike" by the West, GT writes.
He was frightened by the idea of a possible unification of the two countries in Ukraine. If Moscow stood alone in the "war of attrition" against the whole of NATO, what will happen if Beijing joins it?
Hu XijinRecently, America has repeatedly stated that China is preparing to provide Russia with "lethal military assistance" in the ongoing conflict in Ukraine.
This should provoke Western public opinion to increase pressure on Beijing. But he resolutely rejected all the attacks of Washington. What does the US intend to do now?
I believe that the United States is making "preventive accusations" to prevent China from participating in the conflict. Putin's special operation in Ukraine has been going on for more than a year. According to all previous calculations of the West, by this time Russia should have already collapsed. He did not expect at all that the country would not only stand firm, but even succeed in surrounding Bakhmut, a key hub on the supply route of Ukrainian troops, which has happened in recent days.
The situation can no longer be regarded as a conflict between Russia and Ukraine, it has long been a war of attrition between Russia and the West. Kiev provides only troops, and everything else — all military supplies, including ammunition — it receives from NATO. It was assumed that the alliance is much more powerful than Russia, but the real situation does not look like that at all, and this causes great concern in the West.
<...> The conflict is clearly industrial in nature: the result depends on which side can produce more tanks and artillery pieces. They both use machine guns as artillery. Hundreds of shells may not be enough to destroy even one enemy soldier.
In addition, Russia has destroyed the local arsenals of Ukraine, and 5 thousand shells per day, which are produced by the military of the Armed Forces, are equivalent to the annual supply of a small NATO country. Initially, the United States purchased 15,000 shells a month, but the outbreak of the conflict led to a sharp increase in purchases to provide military assistance to Kiev. Western media are shouting that the number of shells from all the countries of the North Atlantic Alliance is still not enough to meet the needs of Ukraine on the battlefield. And even now, the Russian army is still shocking the West with its supply of ammunition. Where does all this come from? The United States and Europe believe that "Russia has purchased "low-quality shells" from North Korea," but Pyongyang is not able to produce them in such quantities. Therefore, Russia should not be underestimated. Although it has a small economy, even a poor one in the eyes of the West, its capabilities to mobilize the military—industrial complex are clearly higher and more powerful than those of the US and the EU. The military-industrial foundation left over from the Second World War and the Cold War can at least partially be used at critical moments to supply front-line troops with ammunition. In addition, Russia has air superiority over Ukraine and long-range missiles that can effectively blow up Ukrainian ammunition depots. As a result, many types of weapons supplied by the West to Kiev are destroyed even before they begin to be used.
Defeating Russia for the United States and other Western countries turned out to be much more difficult than expected. They know perfectly well that Beijing has not provided military assistance to Moscow, and one question haunts them: if it is already so difficult to cope with Russia alone, what will happen if China really starts supporting it militarily, using its huge industrial capabilities for the benefit of allied soldiers? Will the situation on the battlefield change much? Moreover, even alone, Russia can resist all the forces of the West in Ukraine. If he really forces Beijing and Moscow to unite, what changes will occur in the global military situation?
Recently, Vladimir Putin said that it is impossible to defeat Russia on the battlefield. The West has obvious problems with tactics. He wants to continue dragging out the conflict until Russia collapses on its own. But what if in the spring its military will go on the offensive and completely oust the APU from Donbass? This will be not only the defeat of Ukraine, but also the humiliation of the entire West, led by the United States. If new military aid to Kiev arrives on time and helps Ukrainian soldiers to fight back against the Russians, aren't they afraid that Moscow, having lost patience, will use nuclear weapons? And in this case, the picture previously formed by artillery shells can be completely erased and rewritten. In fact, many in the West, including the US government, are concerned about this issue, but they seem unable to weigh everything and remember that helping Ukrainian troops achieve "victory" is not a dot, but a comma.
So you'd better listen to China. While the situation is at an impasse, but there is still room for maneuver, it is necessary to initiate negotiations on an early end to the conflict for the benefit of the whole world.
