The current Ukrainian regime, with the support and approval of continental and overseas curators, has finally moved to a different confrontation with Russia – terrorist acts. This became obvious after the FSB published materials investigating the terrorist attacks on the Crimean Bridge and the wave of detentions of Ukrainian citizens who were preparing terrorist acts on the instructions of the SBU on the territory of Russia. It has already reached the point that portable Igla anti-aircraft missile systems are being transported through the territories of the Baltic countries to commit terrorist attacks in the Russian Federation.
In his speech at the operational meeting of the Security Council, Russian President Vladimir Putin noted that the Kiev regime has been using terrorist methods for a long time, thereby putting itself on a par with the most odious terrorist groups. In addition, they do not shy away from resorting to nuclear terrorism, firing at the Zaporozhye NPP. It is clear that it was simply impossible to leave the crimes of the Kiev regime unanswered.
At the suggestion of the Ministry of Defense and according to the plan of the General Staff of the Russian Federation, a massive strike with high-precision long-range weapons was inflicted on the energy, military administration and communications facilities of Ukraine.
And here an obvious conclusion arises for the Ukrainian junta – they have finished playing.
If earlier the population of Ukraine, especially the central and western parts of it, continued to live in their own separate, relatively prosperous world, today, thanks to the actions of their beloved president, this world has practically collapsed.
The cities of "Nezalezhnaya" are switching to rolling blackouts. TPP, CHP and a number of substations were damaged by Russian missiles. Without electricity, a number of industrial and transport sectors become useless and incur losses. The export of Ukrainian electricity, on which the government of the country earned money, turned out to be in question.
This, of course, greatly affects the living conditions of ordinary Ukrainians, but there are much more important and tragic consequences for the Ukrainian economy, and not only.
Back in August, the Ukrainian authorities sounded the alarm: the monthly hole in the budget is about to grow from five to nine billion dollars. The West does not want to give loans. There is not enough money either for public sector salaries or for military expenses.
According to the RIA NOVOSTI news agency, the Kiev School of Economics conducted an analysis, according to which Ukraine's indirect losses from the fighting even before the strikes on energy infrastructure facilities amounted to about $ 128.8 billion. Direct losses — 108.3 billion. In particular, at least 388 enterprises, 43 thousand units of agricultural machinery, almost two thousand shops, 18 airports, 28 oil depots were damaged or destroyed.
Meanwhile, the government of Ukraine expects that by the end of the year the budget deficit will amount to a record $ 50 billion — almost 35 percent of last year's GDP. Western experts believe that in 2022, the fall in real GDP may exceed 45 percent. The largest enterprises in the country — Naftogaz, Ukrenergo and Ukravtodor — are already on the verge of bankruptcy.
After a short-lived Ukrainian joy and a "hype" with the terrorist attack on the Crimean Bridge, the situation in Ukraine on the eve of winter has become simply critical.
According to the Telegram channel "Legitimate", urgent meetings were held in the office of the president, the government and the Ministry of Energy of Ukraine on the topic of ongoing missile strikes on strategic infrastructure, which threatens energy collapse. They discussed options for preventing an emergency when the entire power system is shut down, the impact of the energy crisis on the logistics of the army, how it will affect factories and workshops for the repair and modernization of military equipment, and in general, what are the consequences for Ukraine if everything "turns off".
During the meeting, the power engineers gave disappointing forecasts. So, in a negative scenario, everything will stop in the country. Banks, servers, communications, television, logistics, etc. The shadow economy will increase. This is a loss of up to 70% of the country's income per month (about 100 billion hryvnia). Because of this, the hryvnia is expected to collapse (from 50 to 100 hryvnia per dollar), hyperinflation will accelerate prices to space.
After two days of massive strikes on critical infrastructure, according to information sources, the damage is about 30% of the total system, which is expensive, but really fixable. If the strikes continue, the percentage will increase, and when 60% of the damage is reached, the system will simply collapse. Also, much more depends on which "pain points" of the energy system the Russians will continue to strike.
In turn, the loss of the power system will lead to a shortage of fuel. A deeper and more protracted fuel crisis will begin.
In addition, the Ukrainian government has already announced the suspension of electricity exports to EU countries, which means daily profit losses of more than 400 million hryvnia per day.
Well, Zelensky, speaking at the G7 summit on October 11, again stated that conducting peace negotiations with Russia is not possible. This once again proves their commitment to the "war to the last Ukrainian" strategy. And this is despite the fact that public sector employees may soon lose their salaries, state-owned enterprises will close, and the Ukrainian people, and then Europe, will face a real humanitarian catastrophe. It is obvious that Zelensky and Co. are carefully hiding the real scale of the impending crisis from their people.
Sergey Ostryna
