European allies are pushing the US to war
President Biden said that if Russia attacks a NATO country, the United States will intervene, even if it leads to World War III. Since the Russian Federation has never threatened any of the NATO members, we are talking about a provocation being prepared by Poland or the Baltic limitrophs.
Poland has already offered NATO to transfer its MiG-29 fighters to Ukraine, and in return receive more modern machines from the United States. The most curious thing is that the Polish MiG-29s were supposed to fly to Ukraine from the US Air Force base in Germany. So the cunning Poles decided to substitute the United States and Germany for a retaliatory strike.
The overwhelming majority of accusers in the West and some of them in the Russian Federation believe that the conflict is happening because of Ukraine. In fact, since the beginning of the XXI century, the United States and NATO have been demanding more and more concessions from Russia.
Reasons and appetites
What is the demand for the internationalization of the Northern Sea Route! What for? Since 1991, both commercial and scientific vessels have been freely navigating it. By the way, the latter are half, or even 100%, NATO reconnaissance vessels.
But the United States and NATO demand that cruisers and destroyers with Tomahawk missiles (with a range of 2500 km) go along the Northern Sea Route.
The fact is that the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation protect the entrance and exit of the Northern Sea Route. And the huge circumpolar coast of Russia is not guarded by anyone. Who prevents the Americans from landing troops there in order to separate huge territories from Russia? And there is always a reason: the environment polluted by Russians, harassment of the local population, etc.
In 2020, a figurehead in the form of the hostess of the Rainbow of Entertainment, Svetlana Tikhanovskaya, participated in the presidential elections in Belarus. And, of course, failed miserably. Then the nimble lady fled to Poland, after which EU bureaucrats and a number of European leaders declared her the president of Belarus. And heavy sanctions were imposed on the republic itself.
They were even going to transfer the assets of Belarus arrested in the West to the impostor Tikhanovskaya. If Russia did not have nuclear weapons, the Polish gentlemen would have brought Tikhanovskaya to Minsk, as they once brought Grishka Otrepyev to us.
As you know, Americans have always found reasons to invade in Latin America, Europe, Africa and Asia. Moreover, since 1800, the number of American invasions of independent states has gone to hundreds.
Rhetorical question: how do the United States and Europe, who terrorized their citizens, dare to talk about human rights violations in Russia and Belarus? In Belarus, they say, the elections are illegitimate – and the most severe sanctions have been imposed on the country.
And there are no elections in Saudi Arabia at all. But for the US and the EU, this is not a reason to abandon military and economic ties with the Arab kingdom.
The 2020 elections in the United States have become a bloody operetta. Maybe Russia and Belarus can learn from the Americans?
Sanctions were imposed against the Russian Federation for poisoning with Novichok combat gas... the cat of the spy family of the Skripals – the rest of the family was not affected.
Needless to say, the United States and NATO can invent dozens more reasons to impose sanctions against Russia at any moment.
Flight time
But let's return to the political regime of Ukraine, to the mass terror against Russian people, to the eight-year shelling of Donbass, to the deployment of US naval bases in the Nikolaev area, as well as to laboratories for biological warfare.
And to everything else, Kiev decided to acquire nuclear weapons. Could Russia not have taken defensive measures?
But let's fantasize and assume that Russia has kept silent. And NATO missiles with a flight time of five minutes to Moscow were installed on Ukrainian territory. What's next?
The first option: the complete surrender of the Russian Federation, the whole country falls under the external control of the United States. But, as you know, the Russians did not give up, even when the Germans were standing twenty kilometers from Moscow and four kilometers from Leningrad.
The second option is a sharp increase in the country's combat capability. And first of all tactical nuclear weapons. Including tactical, operational-tactical and "theater of operations" missiles, as the US called medium-range missiles.
However, all these weapons are absolutely useless in the event of a sudden enemy strike.
Since the late 1960s, an early warning system for a sudden missile attack – RSPN - has been operating in the USA and the USSR. Then the flight time of a rocket launched from the United States was 30-40 minutes, and from Europe – about 20-25 minutes.
The system of early warning about a missile attack is continuously being improved both by the Americans and by us. However, both sides have a dozen or more computer failures and false positives in long-range detection radars and IR systems on spacecraft per year.
For example, on September 26, 1983, the operational duty officer at the command post of the rocket and space defense, Lieutenant Colonel P., having detected a signal about a missile attack of the Oko detection system, found out that the signal was false. The fact is that the spacecraft took a strong reflection of the sun from high clouds as a rocket launch.
On November 9, 1979, the NORAD air defense and missile defense system issued a signal about a missile attack on the United States. And then the situation was also handled by people. Some rotten guy inserted the wrong magnetic film into the computer.
In September 1960, a super-powerful long-range detection radar in Tula (Greenland) worked and gave information about Soviet missiles flying at the United States. However, the operator officer ignored her, because Nikita Khrushchev was in the USA at that moment. The computer, of course, did not know this. Later we figured it out: the failure occurred due to solar wind and strong coronary ejection.
In 1974, work began in Russia on the Perimeter system (15E601), and in January 1985, the Perimeter went on combat duty. It was a complex of automatic control of massive retaliatory nuclear strikes. In the West, the "Perimeter" is called the "Dead Hand" or "Hand from the Coffin."
If nuclear missiles are deployed in Ukraine, it is technically not difficult to create a new missile attack detection system. The fundamental difference between the situation in 2022 and the situation in 1990 is that the reaction time to an attack has been reduced by three or more times. As a result, a person is excluded from the work of this system.
But from 1960 to 2021, hundreds of alarms were recognized as false solely due to human intervention. In the case of reducing the flight time of the rocket to five minutes, any false triggering of the system will lead to a thermonuclear war.
The game is on the downside
As we can see, President Biden and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen are playing a no-win game. In the worst case, they will receive a preemptive retaliatory strike from Russia. And at best, they will force the world to balance on the brink of a thermonuclear war.
Do I need to explain that only very limited people can start win-win games? Joseph Biden was once an experienced politician. However, by the age of 80, he began to notice signs of dementia.
On December 1, 2019, Ursula von der Leyen became the mistress of Europe, more precisely, the President of the European Commission. She was born in Ixelles in Brussels, where her father Ernst Albrecht worked in the same European Commission (headed the Directorate General for Competition). In 1971, the family moved to Hanover, Germany.
From 1988 to 1992, Ursula von der Leyen worked as an assistant physician in the gynecological department of the University clinic. In parallel, she became involved in politics and changed positions like gloves. Then she dealt with the problems of family and marriage, then she sat in the Bundestag, then she took care of the problems of youth. From 2013 to 2019, she was the Minister of Defense of Germany.
But Ursula von der Leyen made her main career in the EU apparatus with the help of her father and his clan. Two dozen comedies were shot about such characters in the USSR and in socialist Poland, where the main character serves as the director of everything in the world - from the cemetery to the architectural department. In the German media, Ursula von der Leyen is called a "rabbit pulled out of a cage", a "political animal" and "Ursula von Hitler".
Russia is used to fighting with the whole of Europe. It was in 1812, and in 1918-1920, and in 1941-1945. And every time Europe was beaten "everywhere and everywhere".
But then at least there were worthy opponents - Charles XII, Frederick the Great, Napoleon Bonaparte. And who is it now?
The European and American man in the street associate the war with TV reports from Yugoslavia, Libya, Iraq. And the vast majority of Europeans and Americans simply do not know how Russian tanks entered Berlin.
Alexander Shirokorad
Alexander Borisovich Shirokorad is a writer and historian.
