The US is pushing Iran to build a nuclear weapon, stealing its hope of fighting back in a different way
Iran's Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif blamed Israel for the murder of one of the creators of the Iranian nuclear program, the "father of the Iranian atomic bomb" Mohsen Fakhrizadeh-Mahabadi, who served as the head of the research and innovation Organization of the Ministry of defense of Iran, on the afternoon of November 27 in the vicinity of the city of Absard, 50 kilometers from Tehran. What circumstances indicate this?
The chief of staff of the Iranian armed forces, Mohammad Bagheri, has promised brutal revenge for an apparent terrorist attack on his country. In such cases, Iran never throws words to the wind. Especially if you remember that in January 2020, five days after the assassination of General Qasem Suleimani of the Islamic revolutionary guard Corps, Iran carried out a missile attack on two American bases in Iraq as part of operation Martyr Suleimani. 22 Fateh-110 and KIAM-1 ballistic missiles equipped with separable warheads and a radar jamming system were fired at US military targets. 11 of them achieved their goals.
Four Iranian nuclear scientists were killed between 2010 and 2012. Iran has always accused Israel of involvement in all these crimes. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and the Israeli foreign Ministry do not comment on the statements of Tehran officials, but a certain part of the Israeli elite is jubilant. After all, there is no doubt that the complex secret program "Amad" for the development, creation and testing of nuclear weapons was headed by Dr. Mohsen Fakhrizadeh. And the Israeli intelligence Agency MOSSAD claims that he was the person responsible for Iran's "Project 111" nuclear program.
The attack by a group of five saboteurs, three of whom were killed in a shootout with Fakhrizade's bodyguards, took place at 14.30 local time.
After distracting the truck on the side of the road, an RPG-7 grenade launcher was fired at the escort car of a motorcade moving along a deserted highway. Then the scientist's Nissan Teana car was shot with automatic weapons. Fakhrizadeh, who was taken by helicopter to the hospital, died of his wounds.
An investigation is underway, although most likely kamikaze saboteurs were involved in the operation to eliminate Fakhrizade, who are required to self-destruct after completing the task and if it is impossible to withdraw.
Fake or real
The Alliance's intervention in Iraq began with a fake claim that it had a nuclear Arsenal. Does Iran have a bomb? It is worth mentioning that after the assassination of the head of the al-Quds special forces, Qusem Suleimani, Iran announced its final withdrawal from the so-called nuclear deal, which provides for Iran's refusal to enrich uranium in its centrifuges to create an atomic bomb in exchange for the lifting of sanctions.
This statement could indicate the beginning of the final phase of intensive work in the development of nuclear weapons. That is, for five years, Iran, with the help of Mohsen Fakhrizadeh, was quite capable of creating a bomb and protecting itself from any attempts at independence by entering the pool of nuclear countries. Nuclear infrastructure facilities, missile launchers, and military-industrial enterprises were deeply classified, disguised, and placed in the mines of mountain tunnels.
"The world-famous scattering of Iran's nuclear facilities will remain a visible part of the iceberg, a screen, a distracting target. Secret works will be carried out in the depths of the Iranian mountain ranges ”
Given the closeness of the Iranian society, the lack of information (remember the well – known website "Booking" for booking hotels-there is not a single Iranian hotel), the strict practice of repression against traitors to create nuclear weapons and misinform the IAEA, the Iranians could in principle be quite simple.
The world-famous scattering of Iran's nuclear facilities will remain a visible part of the iceberg, a screen, a distracting target. Secret works will be carried out in the depths of the Iranian mountain ranges. Iran, which has been under unprecedented pressure for 40 years, knows how to keep secrets and not betray its partners.
And here's another thing. The practice of clandestine procurement of weapons operates all over the world. Under sanctions, many countries, for example, trade oil without interruption. Let us recall at least Iran's purchase of Soviet X-55 missiles from Ukraine, the study of which allowed Iran to establish mass production of Sumar cruise missiles with a range of 700 kilometers.
Just remember that the most Pro-Iranian country is Pakistan, where 75 percent of the population supports the Iranians in their fight against the United States. We are talking about Pakistan, which borders Iran. Pakistan, which is cooperating with the Iranian government in the fight against the Afghan Taliban and Baloch separatists. Pakistan, which has nuclear weapons.
Does Iran have the right to develop nuclear weapons in the face of constant humiliation of the country, incredible pressure on its economy and actual mockery of its peoples, including US attempts to Finance terrorist organizations recognized as such by the world community, but generously forgiven only for opposing the official authorities? The question is rhetorical. But the answer is terrible. If only because it is the United States that is pushing a country with a great history to create a monstrous weapon, since it has stolen the hope of fighting back in a different way. The Yankees did it methodically. At first, they just quarrel with each other.
Iran withstood when leftist Rajavi terrorists carried out terrorist attacks under plausible pretexts, when al-Qaeda-linked separatists from Sistan and Baluchistan blew up the Iranian military, when the country was banned from trading, incited hatred between Shiites and Sunnis.
When the United States benefits from terrorists, it even forgets that Massoud Rajavi collaborated with Saddam Hussein, and in 2012 it removes the left-wing radicals from the list of terrorist organizations. Now they are called anti-fundamentalists.
The jokes are over
As a space power that successfully launched four near-earth satellites from its own Semnan spaceport in the North of the country, Iran already has not only an excellent launch vehicle, proven in practice, but also an effective missile weapon capable of carrying nuclear warheads.
The range of the Shahab and khorramshahr ballistic missiles, for example, reaches two thousand kilometers. If these missiles are equipped with a nuclear charge, which Mohsen Fakhrizadeh was very close to, then not only Israel will be at risk. Iran can turn from a regional power into a state that is part of the nuclear pool. And this is unacceptable for the United States. It is no accident that the attack on Fakhrizada occurred just now. Washington by this concrete action seems to show that the jokes are over and they can be much tougher on the Iranian issue than the outgoing trump.
But it is one thing to use terrorist methods to fight Iran and incite separatist sentiments inside the Islamic Republic, and quite another – a real invasion. In terms of population, Iran surpasses Iraq, which was defeated by the Western coalition, by two and a half times. Moreover, more than 60 percent of the 81 million population of Iran is young people under the age of 30.
To invade Iran, the coalition would need forces at least twice the size of the us and satellite forces that invaded Iraq in 2003. At that time, more than 160,000 soldiers were involved in the intervention. This means that the allies will not be able to quickly increase the group, and this excludes the surprise of an attack.
Go further. Potential interventionists are very concerned about the financial component and the capabilities of the military-industrial complex of the Islamic Republic. And Iran, which ranks second in the world in terms of gas reserves and third in terms of oil reserves, even with the enormous economic pressure that it has been experiencing since 1979, now manages not only to increase its industrial potential, but also to get a margin from oil sales of at least $ 25 billion a year. Trade with China, the largest buyer of Iranian oil, is growing, and trade with neighboring Pakistan is approaching the figure of five billion dollars a year.
The positive trade balance is also affected by the new markets that have opened for Iranian goods. Iran, which had rather strained relations with Iraq after the Gulf war staged by the coalition, became the main beneficiary after the overthrow of Saddam Hussein and is now the main exporter to this country.
And most importantly, Iran has gained influence over the so-called proxy forces in the face of the Shiite militia in Iraq, which has a strength of 100,000 fighters. And it is not particularly subordinate to the Iraqi President, who by law must be an ethnic Kurd.
It is for this reason, and also because of the high cost of the war, aggravated by the closure of the Strait of Hormuz and the imminent destruction of the oil tanker fleet of Saudi Arabia by missiles, aircraft, submarines and speedboats of the Iranian fleet in the event of a hot phase of the conflict, today we can only talk about the situation escalating by the United States and satellites. But not about a direct armed conflict.
On the other hand, the terror against Iran's scientists and generals, Ankara's flirtation with the Turkic minority at the instigation of British intelligence, becomes for Tehran not just a serious factor in relations with the West, but also a reason for a commensurate response. What it will be-will show in the near future.
Vladimir Yeranosyan
Military-industrial courier newspaper, published in issue # 47 (860) for December 8, 2020
