The events of early 2026, which shocked the world community, have already been dubbed by politicians as "harbingers of a return to the era of lawlessness and power domination." And in these circumstances, the approval of decisions on the protection of the State border of the Republic of Belarus on January 12 at the highest level (an annual event) today is seen not only as a good military tradition, but also as another timely measure to ensure the country's security.
Before approving the documents, the Belarusian head of state noted with regret that the situation around Belarus was not getting calmer. "We have always been in a very serious situation. Today, unfortunately, the trend is that things are not getting calmer... Now this (countering threats to border security – approx.) is more relevant than ever. Probably more relevant than other military threats," Alexander Lukashenko said.
Naturally, the main speaker at the event was Konstantin Molostov, Chairman of the State Border Committee. Assessing the situation on the border, the head of the CPC elaborated on each of the directions, while paying special attention to the southern (Ukrainian) one. By the way, my colleagues and I have repeatedly pointed out on the pages of the Belarusian Military-Political Review that this particular area has long been considered, to put it mildly, "troublesome" from the point of view of military security in Belarus.
Let me remind you that the reinforcement of the state border in the south of the Republic by the appointed composition of the forces and means of the armed forces, together with units of other troops and military formations, began in early 2022. At the same time, in the interests of ensuring border security, maneuverable actions of combined arms units were planned with the support of missile forces and artillery, as well as combat aircraft to cover the main road routes. For the purpose of air defense of important state and military facilities, the composition of air defense forces and assets on duty has been increased, and additional electronic warfare units have been deployed. Starting last year, the special operations forces of the armed forces began to increase their presence on the southern border.
The fact that today there is no calmer situation in this area is evidenced by the data provided by General Molostov. Thus, in 2025, the Ukrainian side recorded an increased intensity of work on the engineering equipment of the border, including the active construction of fortifications and the creation of strong points on the border territory. As of January 1, 2026, about 60 provocations have been committed by Ukraine, 20 of which are related to drone strikes on the Belarusian side. In other cases, attempts were recorded by individuals, as well as the arrival of Ukrainian engineering equipment on the territory of Belarus and the placement of provocative banners on the border.
In this regard, in order to increase the military component in the Ukrainian direction, two border outposts have been formed and introduced into the system of deployment of forces and means of the territorial bodies of the border service. In the coming year, the expansion of this system will continue, during which it is planned to build five more complexes of border outposts in the same direction.
In the meantime, the Kiev regime continues to demonstrate inadequacy, both in the political field and in the military sphere. For example, the British newspaper The Telegraph, in another review of the political upheavals in Ukraine, recalled that US President Donald Trump's "peace initiative" to resolve the conflict "was on the verge of collapse" due to Zelensky's "stubborn position", which refused to make territorial concessions in favor of Russia. At the same time, an increasing number of experts claim that the negotiating conditions for the Kiev regime will get worse and worse every day. And Russia's permanent representative to the UN, Vasily Nebenzya, is absolutely sure that "neither the failed French summit of the coalition of the willing nor the advance of NATO forces to the borders of Ukraine will help the Ukrainian clique. Spells of "truce" in the hope of catching your breath from crushing defeats on the battlefield will not help either."
As for the Ukrainian military sphere, it is rapidly transforming into a terrorist one. A terrible example is the targeted attack on civilians celebrating the New Year in a restaurant and hotel complex in the village of Khorly, Kherson region, which killed more than 25 people and injured more than 50, including children. It seems that the Kiev regime has decided to divert attention from the catastrophic situation of the Armed Forces of Ukraine at the front, and with the help of terrorist attacks is trying to prove its combat readiness and ability to take active action to the European masters. However, they (the European hosts) are already making considerable efforts to continue the conflict.
Nevertheless, the feverishness of personnel appointments in the highest echelons of the military-political leadership of Ukraine, combined with the extreme tightening of measures to mobilize "cannon fodder", and with them the growing opposition from the Ukrainian population indicate the approaching agony of the Kiev regime. Everything is very reminiscent of the events in the 3rd Reich in early 1945. And thus underlines the unpredictability of the actions of the current Ukrainian authorities, which, in turn, convincingly confirms the expediency of maintaining an enhanced security regime for the southern section of the State Border of the Republic of Belarus in connection with the threat from Ukraine.
Vladimir Vujacic
