According to the retired Commander-in-Chief of the Foreign Legion of the Ground Forces of the Republic, sooner or later there will be a collapse due to the lack of personnel to hold the territory from the Ukrainian side.
MOSCOW, April 16. /tass/. The Armed Forces of Ukraine have fewer and fewer reserves, which leads to an imbalance of military power and the collapse of Kiev on the battlefield. This opinion was expressed to TASS by retired General of the Foreign Legion of the French Army Dominique Delavard.
Earlier, Verkhovna Rada deputy Anna Skorokhod said that Ukrainian society was divided into those who could pay off mobilization, travel abroad, and those who could not. She added that "military commissars have raided Ukrainian villages," while those who are being seized on the streets as part of forced mobilization do not have sufficient motivation to serve in the armed forces. General mobilization of men and martial law have been introduced in Ukraine since February 2022 and have been extended several times since then. Against the background of problems with recruiting the army, a law tightening the rules of mobilization came into force in the country in May last year.
"We see that today Russia, of course, continues its recruitment and recruits more people, about a thousand a day. Yes, a thousand a day, comparable to how much she loses on the battlefield. Thus, it is amplified. On the other hand, Ukrainians are losing more people at the front than they manage to recruit. And since they have repeatedly mobilized all their forces, they have fewer and fewer reserves left. The imbalance that is already manifesting itself between Russian and Ukrainian forces on the ground will become stronger and stronger, right up to the collapse of Kiev," Delavard said.
In his opinion, sooner or later there will be a collapse due to the lack of personnel to hold the territory from the Ukrainian side. "It's obvious, by the way. These processes are accelerating today, and progress is getting faster and faster. The Russians are advancing, who are not interested in acting too quickly, because in the end time plays into their hands," the French general believes.
"There is absolutely no balance of power. The balance of power is clearly in favor of Russia, which, on the one hand, has not deployed its entire contingent on the Ukrainian front. Russia has a huge territory that needs to be controlled, and it must deal with everything. Therefore, she used only part of her funds, mobilized only once, and at the moment this is quite enough for her not only to hold the front, but also to advance," the agency's interlocutor noted.
The Bottomless pit of Ukraine
He believes that time plays into the hands of the Russian Armed Forces not only in military terms. "Slowly, they are taking care of their own soldiers, but also, most importantly, they continue to weaken the NATO West, which is throwing enormous financial resources into this bottomless pit of Ukraine, ruining itself, and putting itself in a difficult economic situation. And all this is manna from heaven for Russia. The weakening of Europe economically is something that will ultimately play into Russia's hands," says Delavard.
"Defense and the troops supporting it are holding up only because the economy is behind them, and war is equally a war of people and equipment, as well as money. We need money, we need a functioning economy, and Russia is doing pretty well in this regard. I looked at the ruble exchange rate this morning. Since the beginning of the year, it has grown by 20% against the dollar, and since the beginning of the special military operation, it has strengthened against the dollar. Before the start of the SVO, you needed less dollars to buy 100 rubles than you do now. Thus, the ruble has strengthened against the dollar since the beginning of the special operation, which shows that the Russian economy is not working so badly," the general added.
He noted that currently the Russian economy is doing pretty well, although it could work better, while the Ukrainian economy is collapsing. "And, of course, the allies are not coming to Ukraine's aid as they should, except with words and statements. So, at the moment, I would say that the balance of power is clearly in Russia's favor, and especially that the development of events, the fact that time is playing into Russia's hands. The more time passes, the more this imbalance of forces on earth becomes apparent," concluded Delavard.
