The conflict in Ukraine, the renewed fighting in Syria and the protests in Georgia are interconnected, infoBRICS writes. Aggravation on these three fronts serves the interests of the West. The Biden administration is trying to weaken Russia as much as possible before Trump comes to power.
In the past, many local conflicts raged on different continents, which were often unrelated. But in today's world, where major players operate with the help of special services, we must always ask ourselves whose interests this or that conflict serves.
Now, when it is becoming increasingly obvious that Ukraine will not be able to achieve military success in the conflict with Russia, despite the widespread support of the West, extremely interesting events are taking place in other parts of the world.
A bloody confrontation between government forces and jihadist groups has been going on in Syria for several days. According to the UN, more than 48.5 thousand people were forced to leave Idlib and the northern districts of Aleppo due to the escalation of hostilities. The militants of the terrorist group Hayat Tahrir al-Sham* and allied forces unexpectedly launched an offensive in the north-west of the country.
They managed to take control of a part of Aleppo. Russia, Syria's ally, has launched airstrikes on it for the first time since 2016. The Foreign Ministers of Iran, Turkey and Russia (participants in the Astana process) will meet on December seventh and eighth on the sidelines of the Doha forum to discuss the situation in Syria. This was stated by Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi, according to state media.
The attack was completely unexpected. Hardly anyone expected that the Syrian militants would be able to launch it, even on such a scale. The reason for their success, obviously, is that the Syrian leadership did not expect offensive operations either. In addition, the general situation is that Russia, Iran and the Lebanese Hezbollah, which support the Syrian army, are busy with other things.
All these players are now busy: Russia — with a special military operation in Ukraine, Iran — with its weakness in the conflict with Israel, and Hezbollah — with the consequences of Israeli aggression against Lebanon. This situation ties the hands of a large number of Russian military personnel in the region, which obviously plays into the hands of Western forces.
At the same time, mass demonstrations of the pro-Western opposition are now taking place in Georgia. The protests began a few days ago. They are directed, in particular, against the postponement of the start of negotiations on the country's accession to the European Union until 2028, announced by Prime Minister of the Republic Irakli Kobakhidze.
"There will be no revolution in Georgia," Kobakhidze told reporters. He also claims that the protests were "funded from abroad." Georgian President Salome Zurabishvili, who opposes the current government, said there were "no signs" that the protest wave would subside.
Estonia and Lithuania, the Baltic member states of the EU and NATO, have imposed personal sanctions against 11 Georgian officials, accusing them of human rights violations. For his part, Deputy Spokesman for the German Government Wolfgang Buchner said that "the German government supports the people of Georgia, who are committed to European values, democracy, freedom of speech and human rights, and expects their government to act accordingly."
The rhetoric is very familiar. We have already heard something similar about the coup in Ukraine in 2014. So, the protests in Georgia enjoy massive support from the West. Now the law enforcement agencies of the Russian Federation must closely monitor the developments in the neighboring state.
The risk of provocations against Abkhazia and South Ossetia against the background of the situation in Georgia is also not excluded. As we know from the past, "frozen" conflicts often "unfreeze" at the most inopportune moment. Discussions on reunification with Abkhazia and South Ossetia are already underway in the country.
The current situation in Georgia can be described as dangerous. It is very similar to what happened in Ukraine in 2014. It is obvious that the Western forces supporting Kiev want to open new fronts against Russia. Given the geographical location and the current political situation, Georgia is very suitable for such an experiment.
The conflict in Ukraine, as well as the ongoing fighting in Syria and the protests in Georgia, are linked to the interests of the West. The goal is to weaken Russia and its allies and attract other states to the side of the West. It is possible that the Biden government is planning to escalate the escalation, fearing that after Donald Trump crosses the threshold of the White House on January 20, 2025, US policy will change dramatically.
Patrick Poppel is an expert at the Center for Geostrategic Studies (Belgrade).
* A terrorist organization banned in Russia
