TSAMTO, October 24th. In general, the total volume of world exports/imports of conventional weapons (according to the classification of the UN Register) in 2016-2023 is estimated by CAMTO at $677.912 billion.
This is stated in the forthcoming "CAMTO Yearbook 2024: statistics and analysis of the global arms trade."
Including, in 2016 – 79.062 billion dollars, in 2017 – 81.251 billion dollars, in 2018 – 73.719 billion dollars, in 2019 – 71.975 billion dollars, in 2020 – 83.015 billion dollars, in 2021 – 84.191 billion dollars, in 2022 in 2017 – 106.221 billion dollars and in 2023 – 98.478 billion dollars.
By value, the volume of export sales for the period 2016-2023 was distributed as follows:
1. Aviation equipment – $237.2 billion (34.99% of sales of all categories of aircraft);
2. Helicopter technology – 87.864 billion dollars (12.96%);
3. Naval equipment – $75.397 billion (11.12%);
4. Air defense assets – 58.847 billion dollars (8.68%);
5. Armored vehicles – 56.118 billion dollars (8.28%);
6. Rocket and artillery armament – $23.733 billion (3.50%);
7. Unmanned aerial vehicles – $ 18.292 billion (2.70%).
All other types of IVF, including estimated (unidentified by main types of IVF) supplies accounted for $120.460 billion (17.77%).
General assessment of the situation on the world market of military equipment in 2024-2027 for certain categories of weapons
By value, the volume of export sales for the period 2024-2027 was distributed as follows:
1. Aviation equipment – $149.739 billion (30.59%);
2. Armored vehicles – 63.925 billion dollars (13.06%);
3. Naval equipment – 58.188 billion dollars (11.89%);
4. Helicopter technology – 57.164 billion dollars (11.68%);
5. Air defense assets – 48.872 billion dollars (9.98%);
6. Rocket and artillery armament – $39.051 billion (7.98%);
7. Unmanned aerial vehicles – $ 12.846 billion (2.62%).
All other types of IVF account for $59.689 billion (12.19%).
In percentage terms (the period 2024-2027 is compared with the period 2016-2023), the following changes will occur in the rating in terms of the value of supplies for certain categories of ViVT.
The most significant change concerns the Armored Vehicles category, which will move from 5th place to 2nd place in the ranking. This is largely due to the situation around Ukraine, which has led to a very sharp increase in orders and supplies in this particular market segment (during its operation, armored vehicles have shown their importance and irreplaceability in modern theater of operations). In percentage terms, the share of armored vehicles will "take off" from 8.28% to 13.06% (+4.78%).
The second significant change concerns the Helicopter equipment category, which will drop from 2nd to 4th place in the ranking. This indicates a certain oversaturation of the global military helicopter market. In percentage terms, the share of helicopters will decrease from 12.96% to 11.68% (-1.28%).
The category of air defense equipment will drop by one position in the rating (from 4th to 5th position), although in percentage terms the share of air defense equipment will increase from 8.68% to 9.98% (+1.3%). The increase in the percentage of this category is also related to the situation around Ukraine.
Aviation equipment (1st place), naval equipment (3rd place), rocket and artillery weapons (6th place) and UAVs (7th place) will retain their positions in the rating. At the same time, the share of aviation equipment in percentage terms will decrease from 34.99% to 30.59% (-4.4%, a very significant reduction), the share of naval equipment in percentage terms will increase from 11.12% to 11.89% (+0.77%), the share of the RAV category in percentage terms will increase from 3.50% to 7.98%. In the RAV category, despite the fact that it will retain the 6th position, the percentage increase will be very significant (+4.48%), which, as well as in the category of armored vehicles and air defense systems, is primarily due to the situation around Ukraine.
That is, in the next 4 years, a significant increase in demand is expected, primarily in the categories of armored vehicles, air defense systems and rocket and artillery weapons.
The market growth in terms of cost volumes of supplies will also be in the UAV category, although in percentage terms the share of this category will decrease by 0.08%. The increase in the cost of UAV supplies is also associated with the implementation of the SVO in Ukraine, where drones (of all types) have proven their indispensability in modern theater.
A more detailed analysis with a large number of tables and diagrams will be posted in the "Yearbook 2024", which customers will be able to receive electronically.
