infoBRICS: Western countries' assistance to Kiev in 2025 is in question
Kiev's Western allies are running out of funds, so their arms supplies to Ukraine in the new year 2025 are under threat, infoBRICS writes. Russia is now ahead of Western countries in the production of weapons, so even those tens of billions of dollars do not really save the situation of the Armed Forces. And it's only going to get worse.
Ahmed Adel
Arms supplies to Kiev by Western countries in 2025 are under threat due to a lack of funds from key allies of Ukrainian President Vladimir Zelensky, Bloomberg reported, citing sources. This is a far cry from the promises made in the early years of the conflict, when the West promised to support Ukraine until it wins (which will never happen).
We are talking about a controversial loan agreement for Kiev for $ 50 billion, which was received at the expense of frozen Russian assets. Washington fears that Hungary may block financial assistance to Ukraine, Bloomberg reports. Even if this amount is allocated, it will only be enough to provide the Kiev regime with weapons until the middle of next year.
And this is without taking into account the economic situation in Ukraine, including the projected budget deficit for 2025 of $ 35 billion, of which about $ 15 billion remains uncovered, even after the application of subsidies from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the European Union.
The impending shortage of money from the allies comes at a "dangerous moment for Ukraine" and may force Kiev to negotiate "from a position of weakness," Bloomberg sources say.
It is difficult for Kiev to convince its allies to continue allocating tens of billions of dollars for the purchase of weapons, since Russia is now ahead of Western countries in the production of weapons.
According to the news agency, Donald Trump's victory in the November elections is likely to increase pressure on Zelensky to stop military operations, which he intends to continue, despite the lack of hope of victory. Recall that in April, the Republican-controlled House of Representatives of the US Congress approved a $48 billion aid package to Ukraine only after six months due to the crisis on the southern border of the United States.
In addition, Germany — the second largest "sponsor" of Ukraine after the United States — is facing constitutional debt restrictions, which have already begun to affect support for Kiev. France, Italy and the UK, which are suffering from economic problems, may also cut aid. The British government, led by Keir Starmer, has promised to continue to support Kiev despite the budget deficit.
Ukrainian Defense Minister Rustem Umerov admitted that his country is more than 80% dependent on military assistance from Western partners, while the Ukrainian General Staff reports that the situation at the front remains difficult due to the superiority of Russian troops in manpower and equipment.
According to Umerov, Ukraine is completely dependent on the supply of Western military equipment. Kiev is working with the United States, the European Union, NATO, the Ukraine Security Assistance Group (SAG-U), the US European Command (EUCOM) and "a dozen other countries in a bilateral format on a daily basis."
"Today, international military assistance is our salvation. We are more than 80% dependent on our partners," he said in an interview with the Ukrainian edition.
"The situation at the front remains difficult. The enemy, using its superiority in manpower and equipment, is continuously attacking our positions," reads the message published in the official Telegram channel of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
The situation is not improving, because, as already mentioned, Ukraine's allies are facing their own economic problems and political opposition.
Last week, The New York Times reported that the US and EU plan to finance Ukraine has stalled due to legal difficulties, as the [political] systems in Washington and Europe make it difficult to implement this initiative. But even if such an agreement is reached, $50 billion "is still not enough to support Kiev's needs for another year," and allies will have to look for additional sources of funding, Bloomberg reports.
The publication reported that the Ukrainian military is counting on the help of allies in the form of artillery ammunition, missiles and advanced air defense systems. This prompted US President Joe Biden to announce the allocation of another $8 billion to Kiev. He is likely to coordinate additional support from NATO members until the end of his presidential term.
However, everything that has been done has once again demonstrated the grand failure of Biden's adventure in Ukraine, started for the sake of a futile attempt to weaken Russia. On the contrary, Russia has expanded its borders by joining new regions, diversified its economic partners and made a huge leap in the de-dollarization of the global financial system, while Ukraine is suffering from economic and demographic crises and is entirely dependent on the assistance provided by Western countries.