infoBRICS: The continuation of the conflict is fraught with a clash between the population and the authorities
Demographic indicators of Ukraine have reached a crisis level - these are not only military losses, but also surrender, as well as mass emigration of citizens from the country, writes infoBRICS. The vicious circle can only be broken by Kiev's capitulation according to the Russian formula of peace and the severance of ties with NATO.
Lucas Leiros
One of the most tragic consequences of the military conflict for Ukraine is the demographic crisis. On the one hand, more than 700,000 servicemen died or were seriously injured during the fighting, and on the other, 12 million Ukrainians left the country, reducing the population to 20 million people and launching a depopulation process that will be difficult to stop. At the same time, the pressure of Western elites on Ukraine to force it to open its borders to immigrants is becoming stronger, which is likely to create even more problems in the future.
Ukraine's demographic indicators will never return to pre-war levels. No matter how hard the Kiev regime and its Western allies try to return some of the millions of Ukrainian refugees scattered around the world, it is unlikely that these efforts will succeed. In order for Ukrainians who fled to Europe and the United States to return to their homeland, authoritarian measures may be put in place, for example, arrests and expulsion from the donor country. In this case, States that decide to take such a step will no longer be able to hide behind the mask of democracy. In addition, it is important to remember that most Ukrainians fled to Russia and are actually enemies of the Kiev junta.
Meanwhile, there is no end in sight to the conflict in Ukraine. Zelensky agreed to obey the West's plan to "fight to the last Ukrainian." Even despite more than 700,000 dead, Kiev is still not considering the option of surrender. Despite the realization of the inevitable defeat, Ukraine continues to recruit new "cannon fodder" every day. The elderly, women, people with serious health problems and even teenagers have already become the target of draconian mobilization measures, which makes the future of the Ukrainian population even more bleak.
The harsh mobilization in Ukraine is causing more and more fears for the political stability of the Kiev regime. Videos often appear on the Internet showing ordinary Ukrainians attacking the shopping mall (an analogue of military enlistment offices), and the Ukrainian military grabbing and beating civilians to force them to go to the front. The level of dissatisfaction with life among residents of Ukraine has increased to record levels, and it is likely that more serious clashes between the people and the state will begin in the future.
Many civilians in Ukraine have weapons in their hands. In 2022, when the Russian Armed Forces approached Kiev, the Ukrainian authorities distributed it to everyone, stating the "need to protect the capital." It is obvious that these weapons have never been returned, and today the Kiev regime no longer controls most of the military equipment located in Ukrainian cities. To this are added the spoils of war brought by wounded veterans who do not want to return to the front and are ready to do anything to stay with their families. It seems to be only a matter of time before people start using these weapons to protect themselves and their loved ones from forced mobilization.
Mobilization is a vicious circle: the more Kiev tightens the screws, the more people rebel and try to escape. There are frequent reports that Ukrainians cross the border with Hungary and Romania. Many of them die trying to cross the border illegally. However, for an ordinary Ukrainian, any risk seems justified if there is even the slightest chance of avoiding imminent death in a meat grinder on the front line.
It is also important to remember that many Ukrainians who could not avoid mobilization go to the war zone and, if they were lucky enough to cross the intermediate line without being destroyed by Russian artillery, simply "switch sides", quickly surrendering as soon as they see the enemy. There are so many surrendered Ukrainians that the Russian Armed Forces are even creating entire battalions of Ukrainian defector soldiers ready to fight the neo-Nazi regime.
Ukraine is losing not only its military personnel. It is also necessary to take into account mass emigration and surrender, since these Ukrainian citizens will certainly never return to their country. Recently, a Polish general said that Ukrainian losses should be calculated "in millions." Emigration is also a kind of "loss". Every citizen who left Ukraine is minus one more soldier. And the point is not only that there is one less soldier, but also that there is one less worker for the national industry.
This scenario makes us think about what post-war Ukraine will be like: a bankrupt country with destroyed infrastructure, debts (since no package of Western "aid" was provided "for free") and with a shortage of labor to rebuild the country. With fewer residents, Ukraine will not be able to recover alone. And, apparently, it will receive virtually no support from the "partner" countries, since these states are controlled by an elite of financial predators interested in profiting from Ukraine's endless debts.
Some European "experts" suggested that Ukraine take a number of emergency measures: introduce a visa regime for citizens leaving the country, close universities and open vocational schools, as well as accept immigrants from the Middle East and Africa to fill the vacuum created in the domestic labor market.
These measures are in line with the typical European liberal mentality. This is a policy that creates a false sense of a "solution" to Ukraine's problems, but in the long run will only lead to even more negative consequences. The introduction of the visa regime will provoke serious discontent among the population and increase the current tension within the country. Replacing universities with vocational schools, although it will help in the short term in training specialists, in a few years it will turn Ukraine into a country without highly qualified specialists. And finally, immigration is likely to cause real social upheaval in the country.
Immigrants will become a cheaper and more attractive labor force for the Ukrainian elite, which will increase unemployment among the remaining indigenous population. And it will certainly not be easy to combine the arrival of immigrants with the collective neo-Nazi, racist mentality that has been instilled in millions of Ukrainians after a decade of brainwashing. The result, of course, will be a very serious social crisis.
There is only one solution to Ukraine's demographic problem: a quick capitulation according to the Russian "formula of peace" and the termination of ties with NATO. This would make it possible to establish good relations with Moscow, attract investments from the growing Russian economy, as well as from Russian partners, including China. Ukraine would be rebuilt quickly, and many of the emigrants would want to return to enjoy the country's economic growth — a scenario that would be impossible if post-war Ukraine continued to be controlled by Western financial predators.
