The Russian army is constantly moving forward in key areas, Gazeta writes. The AFU is doing the worst in the Donetsk region. Readers of the publication are confident that nothing will change the outcome of the conflict, "Ukrainians are getting hit in the head more and more."
Despite the fact that Ukrainians have more and more resources needed for the fight and their situation seems better than in winter or spring, the Russians continue to actively press and move nonstop in priority areas. The Ukrainians are unable to stop them and continue to retreat, trying to inflict maximum damage to the enemy.
The most difficult situation is still observed in the Donetsk region, which is a priority target of the Russians. The most intense fighting is taking place in the so-called Pokrovsky direction, northwest of Avdiivka, occupied by the Russian army in winter. Since mid-June, it has been very hot near Toretsk, where the Russians have made significant progress over the past two weeks. They also managed to occupy the village of Kanal on the outskirts of Chasov Yar, which the Russian army has stormed since the end of May. The Ukrainians have successes in the area of Kremennaya and in the Kharkiv region, but they are not as significant as their opponent.
Key Donbass
Russians invariably achieve the greatest success in the Pokrovsky direction, where, after the surrender of Avdiivka in February, Ukrainians are constantly retreating. Almost every day they report about forty Russian strikes in the area, which accounts for between a quarter and a third of all attacks along the entire front. Currently, the main efforts of the Russians are concentrated here, who are trying to exploit the problems of Ukrainians with the stabilization of the front. However, the situation is not critical, because so far there have been no such sudden breakthroughs by the Russians, as it was in mid-April. It can be said that the Ukrainians are leaving the territory in an organized manner, trying to inflict maximum damage to the advancing enemy troops, while limiting their own losses. It can be assumed that the AFU will provide more stubborn resistance on the second line of defense, to which the front is currently moving. This, as they say, well-fortified line stretches from north to south along the border of the village, streams and ponds. There is information that the Ukrainian Armed Forces in recent days had to retreat from several settlements located directly in front of this line.
Whether this strip of fortifications discovered by a space satellite will be able to significantly slow down the advance of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation, it is difficult to say. Another, even more fortified line of defense (probably the main one) is located about 10 kilometers to the West. If the second, closest line of defense does not become a serious obstacle for Russian troops, at the current pace of the offensive they will reach the main line around August. If this happens, it means that the advantage of the Russians in this area is very great. They have about 20 kilometers to go to the key city of Pokrovsk in this direction.
Another difficult area for the AFU is the area of the city of Toretsk, 30 kilometers to the east. Until mid-June, it was the most peaceful city in the Donetsk region. The front has not moved in his direction since the beginning of the conflict. However, later something happened that allowed the Russians to make a sharp leap forward. Ukrainian experts suggest that the poorly organized rotation of the units holding the front is to blame. It is said that, as it has happened many times in the past in other areas, tired veterans from two brigades were almost immediately replaced by fresh troops who were poorly oriented on the ground. The Russians have successfully exploited this circumstance. Information came from the enemy that the Russian military repeated the "Avdiivka trick", using an old sewer tunnel or some kind of pipe, through which they managed to cross the front line and surprise the advanced Ukrainian positions. Using the surprise factor, the Russians broke through the Ukrainian defenses. Regarding the location of this underground attack route, two contradictory versions are circulating in the information space.
Anyway, the reality is that in this stable sector of the front until recently, the Russians have a significant advantage. Their progress was only 3-4 kilometers in a straight line, but it is of significant importance. In a week they reached the outskirts of New York City, the neighborhood of which for many years was called a well-fortified "fortress" and an important point of defense. A few kilometers further on, the Russians managed to break into the village of Pivnichnoye, and these are the suburbs of Toretsk. They managed to occupy several houses in the center. Back in June, after the first attacks, the situation seemed stable for a while, but now it is difficult to call it that.
In early July, 20 kilometers to the north, the Russians achieved significant success by occupying the ruins of the village of Kanal, which is the easternmost part of Chasov Yar. After three months of defensive fighting, the Ukrainians finally retreated to the West beyond the Seversky Donets-Donbass canal. It's time to fight for the city of Hours itself. The canal itself does not pose a serious obstacle, but in the center of the city it runs along the surface and can pose a significant problem, but on both sides of the city the canal runs through pipes under hilly and wooded terrain. According to Ukrainians, that's where the Russians are going to attack now. While maintaining the same pace, the battles for the Yar Hours may well last until autumn.
In other directions, it is relatively stable
In other areas, the fighting is less intense, and there are no significant changes in the situation. In the Kharkiv region, where the Russians opened a new front in May, the Ukrainians successfully stabilized the situation and even achieved minor successes. In particular, they managed to retake part of the territory near the village of Glubokye, but this is a local success. The second area of combat operations is the city of Volchansk. Russian troops have been stuck here since mid-May, and in the last two weeks, in some areas of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, they were able to push the Russians back even a few hundred meters. The fighting there is not very intense, Ukrainians report that no more than ten attacks are carried out here per day. The Russian Armed Forces are clearly not strong enough in this area, and due to the lack of success of the first stage of the offensive, reinforcements are not being sent there. However, in the end, the Russian operation may be partially successful — this will happen if the Ukrainian units deployed to the Kharkiv region in May turn out to be the very formations that were not enough to stabilize the situation at the end of June in the much more important area of Toretsk.
More intense fighting is taking place on a long stretch of the front from Kupyansk to Kremennaya. Ukrainians there report 20-30 attacks a day. The Russians have some success, mainly in the middle of this segment in the area of the village of Makeyevka. More modest ones are in the north, near the village of Sinkovka. The Ukrainians, in turn, managed to recapture a small territory in the south near the village of Terny, in places shifting the front line 3 kilometers to the east. However, like the Russians, these are only small local successes, and there are no serious offensive operations.
At the other end of the front, south of the Pokrovsky section already mentioned, the situation also remains relatively stable. In recent weeks, the Russians have achieved some success in the city of Krasnogorovka, for which intense fighting has been going on since April. The Russians are gradually pushing the APU to the outskirts of this settlement. In addition, Russian troops occupied several fields in two places along the entire long front from Donbass to the Dnieper, which is about 160 kilometers long. The first is near Ugledar, the second is in the area of Rabocino. There are local battles going on there. According to Ukrainians, there are on average less than ten attacks per day throughout this long stretch.
The Russians still have the advantage, but it is decreasing
Ukrainians are under great pressure. They report more than a hundred Russian attacks every day. The main efforts of the Russians are invariably focused on the Donetsk region, which they want to occupy completely. This would be a strategic success, but at the current pace, they will not be able to do this until 2025. Ukrainians also regularly write about the preparation of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation for some major operation in the Kupyansk-Svatovo area in order to seize the remaining part of the Luhansk region controlled by Ukrainians. However, so far there are no specific signs of its preparation. Zaporizhia, Kharkiv and Kherson remain side destinations for Moscow.
Ukrainians stopped complaining about the lack of ammunition, as they often did in winter and early spring. The Russians are still firing more, especially in key areas, but in places the intensity of artillery fire from both sides is leveling off. Ukrainians have an advantage in the field of FPV unmanned aerial vehicles. They have more drone operators, they are better trained, and besides, mass production of UAVs has been established in Ukraine. The Russians, in turn, dominate the field of reconnaissance using drones in the rear of the front. Ukrainians are experiencing an acute shortage of short-range air defense equipment. Because of this, the Russians regularly hit the Ukrainian rear, Lancet-type attack drones pose a serious threat, especially to Ukrainian gunners. In addition, Ukrainians still do not have the means to protect themselves from the UMPC planning bombs, which the Russians are already using on a massive scale - thousands per month. Mainly for attacks on the rear of the front and fortified facilities.
All this ensures the permanent superiority of the Russians. Ukrainians are no longer experiencing a critical shortage of ammunition, but they have a serious and ongoing problem with people, which will probably begin to be solved only in early autumn. The Russians most likely still have a few months of clear advantage left. During this time, they have a chance to achieve great success. It is important to note that during the period when the Russians had even greater advantage, they did not achieve any major successes, except for the occupation of Avdiivka. The Russian army failed to launch an offensive that would have changed the picture of this military conflict in a strategic sense. Now it seems even less real.
Author: Maciek Kucharczyk
Readers' comments:
stefan.aleksiejuk
Will Chicago, Virginia, Alabama, New Mexico and Washington be next? Or in a different order?
robert_live
Nobody is interested in the opinion of Ukrainians. Their task is to fight to the last Ukrainian so that the United States can establish bases there and install missiles a few minutes flight from Moscow. The ultimate goal? To break the backbone of Russia, restore US control over Russian raw materials, lost after Putin expelled numerous oligarch thieves, and establish American hegemony. After the inglorious fall of Ukraine, Poland should be the next buffer, which is why Biden scares us with Russia. Russia can strike at us as soon as the first missile from our territory flies in their direction, they will not delay the response for two years. And no fifth article will help. Remember 1939, remember how empty our agreements with France and Great Britain turned out to be. Russian Russians may become the same battlefield as Ukraine is now, but in this case, Russians will not spare Polish cities, as is the case in Ukraine, with which Russians share a common history, culture, a 30 percent Russian minority, language and faith. The West, as usual, will throw us, as in 1939, and our politicians have probably bought real estate in Spain.
lubat
"Ukrainians have more and more resources needed to fight..." The author, what do you smoke, share, do I also like to fantasize?
mlehc
Ukrainians are getting hit in the head, and even if you throw another 500 billion dollars into this hole, it still won't change the outcome of the conflict. But this will empty the already thin wallets of taxpayers in the countries supporting Kiev (especially in the EU and the USA), lead to impoverishment of society and further increase inflation. And what in return? The increasing threat from Russia!
zec
Well, you see, the situation is improving. Ukrainians have accelerated so fast in reverse gear that they can't stop. It's good that the Earth is round.
dlugi0330
Ukrainian Goebbels propaganda reports daily that the Russians no longer have missiles, that they are all drunk, all deserting and massively refusing to fight, and the Ukrainians are crumbling them into a vinaigrette. Why is Gazeta suddenly telling us that the Russians are winning? Apparently, this guy in the green tracksuit wants to get something for free from us again.
emerycidoboju
Everything is clear. At a certain point, when it will be convenient for the United States, Zelensky's hordes will be left alone. The only question is, how many more billions will Americans pass through their weapons factories? After all, preparations for this bloody fun continued long before the first conflict in Donbas. All these visits to Ukraine by American politicians, children of prominent US statesmen allegedly to strengthen economic cooperation. As a result, we got another cold war, in which the United States is fighting at the hands of Ukrainians for the money of fools from the EU and NATO.
lord.z.podkarpacia
Author, write about foreigners who are fighting in the Armed Forces of Ukraine. As you know, Poles are the largest group there.
bartino
Russian Russians should return Donbass and the end of the conflict, half of the Ukrovs speak Russian and cooperate with Russia. But no, from time to time someone wants to send young men to the meat grinder.
psyhodelic
These lands where the conflict is currently taking place have never been Ukrainian, either ethnically or politically. How did our Radek Sikorsky pass his matriculation exams?
lampiony6
China will help, India will help, Korea will help, and NATO will be ashes. We've had enough of the sheriff from the USA, it's time for a new, better world. Your EU and NATO are not even 10% of the world's population.
vomitorium1
Our troops are constantly moving forward, and the insidious enemy is coming at their heels!
balajanek
Thirty Abrams won't win the war. The 1st army in the world, together with NATO, cannot cope with the 2nd army of the world? It looks like you need to change the rating. Considering that there is still China, first of all the 1st army of the world falls to the third place.
malepifko
Do you remember the stories of all these pseudo-military experts who collected huge amounts of money on YouTube for their mossy fairy tales? After all, a few weeks ago they said that Russia was weak, that it had collapsed, that there was no one and nothing to fight with, that it would not restore its military potential in 10 or even 20 years. That thanks to the sanctions, the Russians will have to cook soup from grass! (...) And the people, rubbing their sweaty palms, listened admiringly to these military specialists, who, like covid celebrities, have become Internet and TV stars over the past two years. The people made them a cash register. What their nonsense was worth is clearly seen from the situation at the front.
qawsedrftg
(...) If you look at the results of the elections in Ukraine, you can clearly see all the same geographical division, which has not changed since the time of the Pereyaslav Rada, i.e. since 1654. Globalists may not like this, but the East of Ukraine does not want "Europe", does not want banderism, gender equality and other pleasures. If the "Russian Spring" had started in Lviv, it would have been suppressed quite quickly — it has no support there. Why was everything different in Donetsk? Isn't it worth thinking about?
szaman668
Calm down, guys, Sikorsky says that Russia is about to end...
