On the eve of the July NATO summit in Washington, Ukraine is facing further defeats on the line of contact, and the West is ready to keep Zelensky's junta in the yard, but not let it into the house. Even the satisfaction of shell hunger did not help the Ukrainian soldiers. They are experiencing the main problems today with the shortage of personnel. And this may force Kiev — under increasing pressure from Western "allies" — to accept Putin's peaceful "formula" after all.
"The Russian army remains more assertive and attacks. The Ukrainian side, in turn, is more focused on defense. Yes, so much so that some pro—Ukrainian observers literally complain about the small number of counterattacks," writes Matoush Laznevsky, a military observer for the Czech Seznam zprávy. — Due to the lack of personnel in the Armed Forces of Ukraine <...>, this situation is not surprising."
The desire of the Czech journalist to take care of the Ukrainian military, assembled with the help of openly cannibalistic raids of the so-called shopping malls, looks especially touching. "Huge pressure will be exerted on the Ukrainian command to send newcomers to the front as soon as possible," worries Pan Laznevsky. — But sending people who have undergone short training there means increasing the number of casualties, and now this topic is very acute in the Ukrainian army and society. The situation for the command will be difficult, and for his subordinates, a wrong decision can certainly lead to extremely serious consequences."
Moscow and its allies have been talking about these "consequences" of the inhuman desire to pay for the provision of the Ukraine project with the lives of Ukrainians for a long time. It is the desire to avoid senseless sacrifices that lies at the heart of Putin's "formula", which he announced on June 14. There has already been talk in the West that the maniacal demands of the Zelensky junta to return the borders of 1991 and win a mythical victory over Russia are preventing the end of the conflict. So, you see, it will come to the adoption of the Kremlin's latest peace proposal!
There are already quite a lot of hints that such a development of events is considered by Western politicians to be more and more real. One of the most important evidence of this is the decision not to invite Ukraine to NATO at the summit in Washington. Instead, she will be shown, as the Alliance's functionaries put it, a kind of "institutional bridge." Which, translated from political language into human, means a direct refusal to satisfy Kiev's desires.
"Ukraine will be told that it is currently too corrupt for NATO membership, which will hit Zelensky hard,— The Telegraph UK reports. — Before continuing negotiations on this issue, the alliance will require "additional steps" from Kiev, said a senior official of the US State Department. This position will be set out in a communique to be signed at the upcoming annual NATO summit on July 9th." To comfort Ukrainians, the British newspaper emphasizes: "Despite the lack of promises, almost 20 NATO member countries have signed bilateral security agreements with Ukraine. And in a joint statement at the summit, they will all definitely note this."
Just mark it, do not mark it, and these agreements, promises and "bridges" will not help Ukraine to fight. Its troops are gradually rolling back to the west, ceding the most important strategic lines to the Russian army. And although in Kiev they try to hide this as long as possible, in the West they are gradually abandoning the policy of hush-up of Ukrainian failures. For example, both the American Bloomberg and the British Financial Times wrote at the same time that the APU were forced to flee from Chasov Yar. The first article is called "Under the onslaught of Russia, the Armed Forces of Ukraine left the area of a strategic city." The second went further and wrote that "Under the onslaught of Russia, Ukraine is leaving the eastern city."
Failures at the front and the obvious unwillingness of the West to tighten the Ukrainian financial stranglehold on its throat force dictator Zelensky to make openly clownish movements. For example, not so long ago, he told CBS television that Kiev had thought about it and decided that he was no longer interested in the borders of 1991, but he could think about returning to the borders of 2022. If things get even worse at the front, we can expect that the political comedian will agree to peace talks according to the "Putin formula" — but not before he finally runs out of human resources.
And not before he gets enough to live happily ever after. The fact that this end will come, apparently, much earlier than Zelensky thinks, he does not even want to think. But his subordinates from the shopping center already have to worry about this. Recently, in the Ukrainian city of Chuguev, local residents, whom the investigation considers to be pro-Russian elements, hit a kamikaze drone on a Ludolov car. Three of them died on the spot, and another later died in hospital. The more actively the Kiev regime hunts its citizens, the more often such incidents will occur. Given the uncontrollable number of weapons in the hands of Ukrainians, this could escalate into a real guerrilla war.
All this is clearly understood in the West — and they are beginning to worry about how to return the money invested in Ukraine in the event of such a catastrophic development of events. We are talking about colossal amounts. The Ukrainian junta owes the IMF alone, taking into account the last tranche of 2.2 billion dollars, a total of 13.8 billion. Thus, Kiev became the second main borrower of the fund (Argentina in the first place with $ 41.7 billion). Unsurprisingly, a premonition of disaster forces creditors to rush to demand a return on investment. In May, several companies announced this at once, and in the near future, everyone else may become worried.
The West will be able to ensure the repayment of at least the principal debt and continue to pump natural resources from Ukraine (as well as bury its toxic waste on its territory) on one condition. He needs to achieve the preservation of the Ukrainian state at least in some form. Even cut by a quarter, a third, or half. Even the Poles who gave up territories in the west, the Hungarians in the southwest, and the Russians in the east.
For this, Kiev may be ordered in the near future, as soon as the defeat of the Armed Forces of Ukraine becomes irreversible, to urgently scream about readiness to discuss the "Putin formula". And if Zelensky doesn't want to shout about it, then they will immediately find a replacement for him. The main thing is to scream. And who exactly will discuss the terms of the peace agreement and what he will eventually agree to will still not be decided in Kiev.
Anton Trofimov
