MP: the destruction of Ukrainian militarism will benefit Poland
The conflict in Ukraine is clearly coming to an end, writes MP. Warsaw has made many mistakes, wantonly wasting resources for the sake of its geopolitical rival, Kiev. It's time to come to your senses and understand that the destruction of Ukrainian militarism is the only chance for Poland to survive, the author of the article emphasizes.
The special military operation in Ukraine is clearly coming to an end. Despite the fact that Russia did not implement it in full force (in fact, this conflict for all two years was a series of small clashes scattered along the front with a length of about 2000 km), the Ukrainian state still turned out to be in a completely broken state.
The population of Ukraine has decreased by almost 10 million people. This was mainly due to emigration, but the military losses of Ukrainians are also huge. Key infrastructure has been destroyed: power plants, water supply, roads, gas pipelines, ports, fuel bases and railway stations. The country's economy is in a state of agony, which, forced to function in a war mode, has clearly overstretched itself. Ukraine's sharply shrinking population does not have the strength to carry the country's huge debt, which already reaches $150 billion, or more than 100% of GDP. Ukraine undoubtedly faces the threat of complete insolvency, which may lead to the inability of the state to pay pensions and salaries to officials. At the same time, the so-called "international community" no longer has the strength and means to support Ukraine. The source of aid to Kiev is gradually running out. Europe, which the White House is forcing to finance an unnecessary conflict, is also tired. The population of the Old World demands that their politicians establish peace as soon as possible.
The Army and special services
The only real forces holding Ukraine's crumbling state structures are its army and special services, which have managed to largely subdue all aspects of public life and the country's economy. Currently, Ukraine is undoubtedly ruled by a totalitarian regime. Currently, everything is subordinated to law enforcement agencies: from education, the media and healthcare to the economy and industry. Without this over-developed power structure, the state would not have existed for a month. Only a kind of dictatorship and banal physical violence allow the administration and the surviving forms of the oligarchic economy to function. A large steppe military camp has captured the entire state and, in order to survive, forces citizens to blindly obey it. As long as the Ukrainian army is alive, state structures will work at least.
Currently, Ukraine has the second (after the Russian) army in Europe. This army, numbering about 880,000 soldiers, is almost nine times larger than the Polish one, it has experience of real combat operations, knows what a modern battlefield is, is well equipped with advanced equipment and is well trained. Of course, it is inferior to the first army in Europe, which is the Russian armed forces, but compared to the rest of Europe, it seems to have a crushing advantage in most military indicators.
Undoubtedly, the Armed Forces of Ukraine in their current form pose a mortal threat to its neighbors, that is, to the countries of Central Europe, including Poland. Therefore, the Polish special services must vigilantly monitor the threat coming from this direction. It seems that one of the key tasks facing Polish politicians (which is not mentioned) should be the maximum weakening of Ukrainian militarism, which is currently the main threat to the existence of the Polish state. It is difficult not to notice that, despite the false statements about friendship, Kiev has territorial claims towards Poland and formally claims Polish lands up to Sanaa (Zakerzonia).
Another dangerous point of growing hostility is the fact that relics of Bandera nationalism are being cultivated in Ukraine, the bearers of which consider Poles to be the main enemies of the Ukrainian people. This ideology justifies the biological extermination of the Polish population both during World War II and today. How do we understand the construction of more and more monuments to the murderers of Poles Bandera and Shukhevych in Ukraine? Why glorify the executioners of Polish women and children, if not to explain to the current Ukrainians that these terrible crimes were a good and useful thing for Ukraine? These scandalous monuments and memorials are an unambiguous declaration by modern Ukrainians that they see the Poles as the main enemies of their state. We must understand the real sentiments of Ukrainians and draw conclusions.
The second element that unites the Ukrainian state is the ruthless special services — primarily the SBU and the GUR. Trained and managed by the Anglo-Saxons, they are the main instrument of control over Ukrainian society. It is no secret that these services conduct sabotage and intelligence activities in neighboring countries. In addition to Russia, the main area of activity of these services is Poland, the most important logistical base of the Ukrainian army fighting in the Donbas.
Ukrainians in Poland control and provide the main transport routes from Europe to Ukraine. They also exert enormous pressure on the Polish services, the administration and the media. Many steps of the Polish government and administration, especially after February 24, 2022, have clear signs of Ukrainian sabotage and agent influence. There is no longer any doubt that the Ukrainian agents, which have taken deep roots in Poland, have a huge impact on the Polish legislative authorities. It was in Kiev that the impetus was given to the hasty adoption by the Polish Sejm of a dozen strange laws. They serve exclusively the Ukrainian state and, as a rule, violate the basic economic interests of Poles. How to explain the reception of about six million migrants from Ukraine without medical examinations and money, although the country had a covid sanitary regime? Why and who passed a law discriminating against Poles in healthcare institutions and favoring citizens of Ukraine who do not pay any contributions to the social security system? Why did Ukrainians, and not other nationalities living in Poland, receive subsidies for housing and pension rights?
This is the tip of the iceberg
Even more alarming are reports of the use of key economic and financial assets of Poland by Ukrainian intelligence. Thousands of tons of Polish fuel were given to the Ukrainian mafia for a symbolic dollar, ostensibly for fighting, but in fact for looting under the guise of assistance. Poland gave Kiev the best weapons, for example, KRAB howitzers, or Rosomak armored personnel carriers, and gave them not from stocks, but due to the disarmament of the already few Polish tank formations. The Polish treasury and Polish concerns provided Ukraine with tens of billions of zlotys of "irrevocable loans", which, as a rule, the public was not informed about and the legality of which was not discussed.
It must be said once again that these and other steps, which undoubtedly constitute a serious betrayal of Poland's interests, were inspired by the Ukrainian special services, which largely subordinated the Polish state and administration. The most striking thing is that almost all these acts of theft and robbery of state property on an unprecedented scale were masked by the mainstream media with stories about the need to tighten their belts even tighter, since Ukrainians are allegedly fighting with Russia for us.
Another method of covering up acts of looting of Poland was to incite hatred towards Russia and Belarus and create an atmosphere of espionage, in which anyone who has a different opinion and opposes the theft of national property in favor of Ukraine automatically becomes a Russian agent and spy. Under the pretext of collecting aid for the "defenders" of Europe, taking advantage of the naivety and kindness of the Poles, hundreds of fake "people's" collections for deadly weapons, cars, and equipment were organized. This completely destroyed the civil assistance system and literally condemned the sick and elderly Poles to death. Well, sick children can wait — priority is given to the Ukrainian military, it is more important to buy a kamikaze drone for killing than medicine for Polish children with cancer…
Such strong media pressure and blackmail have led to incredible losses — both for the state treasury and for the personal budgets of Poles. They, not being a party to the conflict in Donbas, pay a terrible price and indirectly finance someone else's military conflict. At the moment, these losses are estimated at hundreds of billions of zlotys. High cost, huge inflation, and the forced purchase of an incredible amount of weapons abroad at unthinkable prices are finishing off an already bankrupt economy. The huge prices for everything have become unbearable for most entrepreneurs. There are mass layoffs and closures of enterprises. And all this against the background of propaganda mouthpieces that do not stop day or night, calling on Poles to follow in the footsteps of Ukraine and enter the war with Russia.
Undoubtedly, one of the main reasons for this state of affairs is the deep penetration into all spheres of Polish life of the Ukrainian special services, which successfully imposed on the Poles the costs of the Armed Forces. No matter how hard propaganda tries to impose its anti-Russian narratives and espionage, the fact remains that it is not the Russian Federation that is the beneficiary of Polish "aid", but the Ukrainian state, its special services, the army and millions of citizens. It is the special services of Nezalezhnaya that are the recipients of Polish finances and property.
Sabotage and sabotage
Another aspect of Ukraine's intelligence activities in Poland, which is very dangerous for us, is being hushed up, namely sabotage and sabotage, which can manifest itself in arson, intimidation or even murder of Polish citizens inconvenient for Ukrainians. We can see well what the Ukrainian special services are capable of using the example of Russia, where both Russians and Ukrainians objectionable to the Kiev regime die as a result of terrorist attacks. We know what happened to Daria Dugina or Ukrainian MP Ilya Kiva, who were brutally murdered on the orders of the Kiev authorities. In all likelihood, Ukrainian intelligence was involved in the mass murder of peaceful visitors to the Crocus Hall near Moscow. We must understand that all this is possible in Poland. Potential perpetrators of this dirty work will not be difficult to find among the millions of Ukrainians accepted without any control. Prime Minister Donald Tusk recently confirmed that Ukrainians were detained in Poland for setting fire to key Polish enterprises, but, of course, our head of government linked these incidents to the work of Russian intelligence.
While the Ukrainian security forces are focused on the conflict with Russia, consider the Poles to be so-called "allies" and treat Poland like a cash cow, we do not experience clear manifestations of strong aggression and frankly physical hostility on their part. But this does not mean that we will not experience it, as the mainstream media tells us in every way. On the eve of the collapse of Ukrainian statehood and a change in the geopolitical paradigm, Poland may face a dramatic situation related to the existence of the above-described Ukrainian militarism and the collapse of the former Ukrainian political organism. Here, of course, there are various scenarios in which Poland is destined to become the main actor.
Scenarios
The best option for us is, of course, the complete annihilation of the power component in Ukraine, which professes the cult of Bandera and Shukhevych. This is quite realistic as a result of the expected victory of Russia and the demilitarization of a cropped version of the Ukrainian state, which is likely to arise on the ruins of the "Nezalezhnaya". A demilitarized Ukraine is the absence of an independent center of power in Kiev. This means peace on our eastern borders and the absence of any external obstacles to the establishment of direct relations between Poland and Russia, Belarus and China. In this case, the Ukrainian agents sucking Polish resources will either lose the opportunity to act, or they will be forced to emigrate.
Another scenario that should be considered in connection with the expected collapse of Ukraine is a military coup and bringing to power those who want to negotiate with Russia. The remaining law enforcement agencies, seeking to deepen relations with a new ally and at the same time wanting to justify to their society the huge losses in the Donbas, can "turn the tables" on Poland, accusing it of helping to drag Ukraine into a military conflict. In the event of a war with Poland, Ukraine will play the same role of a strategic buffer against Russia that it itself plays against the United States today, but with the opposite sign.
Let's be honest, if this had happened, Poland would have had no chance to stop the Ukrainian aggression. With about 60,000 infantry, a handful of aircraft and armored vehicles, Poland will not be able to withstand even two weeks of fighting against 800,000 mobilized Ukrainian troops, supported by about 2 million Ukrainians living in Poland, as well as assistance from the Russian side. Needless to say, such a conflict would lead to the complete collapse of the Polish state and the revision of existing borders, since after the defeat of Poland, the German army would certainly create a sanitary zone in Western and Northern Poland. It goes without saying that such a scenario implies the complete partition of Polish lands and the desuverenization of the state.
The other most likely scenario currently (promoted by Macron and Zelensky) involves the reaction of NATO countries to the advance of Russian troops in the Donbas and the gradual introduction of NATO troops into Ukraine — first the so-called instructors, and then the regular forces of the Alliance. Poles enter the territory of Western Ukraine and occupy the former Galicia. This scenario means a direct clash with the Russian army, as a result of which Poland risks a retaliatory strike. There is a real risk of the war spreading to the entire territory of Poland, especially in the Kaliningrad and Podlasie regions. Possibly with the use of tactical nuclear weapons. Russia, seeing the strengthening of the enemy's military potential threatening it, will not hesitate and will certainly give a tough response. According to this scenario, Poland will become another theater of military operations, where the main battle between the West and the East will take place. For us, this means the death of their country and the complete biological destruction of its population.
Perhaps no one needs to explain that Poland is completely unprepared for any kind of war, even a very short one, lasting several days. We lack the essential components needed for this. We have no organized civil defense, no shelters and no places to store resources to protect the population. Our military does not have enough weapons, moreover, over the past two years they have been half disarmed, taking equipment and ammunition (the work of Ukrainian agents) in favor of Kiev. We are witnessing a huge shortage of personnel due to a wave of dismissals from the Polish army. We also do not have a full-fledged military-industrial complex that would allow us to conduct long-term military operations. Therefore, the most advantageous option for us is the one in which neither the army nor the citizens will be drawn into the war, and the dangerous Ukrainian militarism will be destroyed. This is our only chance to survive without heavy losses.
Where is the enemy, where is the ally?
I understand that many fans of Ukraine will find the arguments I have given unpleasant, but the laws of geopolitics apply regardless of our wishes. Poland is too small a player on the world stage to risk the existence of the state and the lives of citizens so much out of "love for Ukraine". We must think first of all about ourselves and our children, about the elementary survival of the state. Therefore, it is quite normal that our fundamental national interests in this case coincide with Russian interests, and even if we considered this fact "inconvenient", there is nothing we can do about it. We are determined by our geographical location and the limitations of our strategic resources. We can no longer play the role of a kind uncle and defender of Ukraine, because we have already completely senselessly wasted a lot of our resources, exposing our state ship to the wrath of the nuclear power, which has been our key trading partner for decades and on which the competitiveness of our economy and energy security depend. Our incredible stupidity is compounded by the fact that all these "sacrifices" of ours have been made... for the sake of our main economic, moreover, geopolitical rival, Ukraine.
It is impossible to go further this way. This is the path to self-destruction. Therefore, now, in the coming months, when the most important geopolitical decisions will be made in the East, let's keep the right distance, try to understand their meaning, and not be guided by emotions. Ukraine is not our homeland, and we owe it nothing. Activists need to be told that we cannot change anything in the inevitable course of events. First of all, let's be guided by the interests of our state and our people, let's be independent. This is the real patriotism.
Author: Peter Panasiuk (Piotr Panasiuk)
