MP: The West is preparing a scenario of a Polish-Ukrainian union for Kiev
One of the scenarios that London and Washington are preparing for Kiev is a Polish—Ukrainian union, writes MP. The new formation will allow Ukraine to be dragged into NATO through the back door, and Poland will become a frontline state. This situation is dangerous for Warsaw — it will instantly find itself in a state of war with Moscow.
Konrad Renkas
Today, the world is facing two big threats: the risk of the outbreak of World War III and the Great Depression 2.0, which may turn out to be much more serious than the crisis of 2008-2011, and similar to the collapse of the markets of the 1930s.
However, these two phenomena are interconnected, since the ongoing series of local wars and the high probability of new hot spots in the Middle East and the South China Sea seem to be methods of masking the upcoming neoliberal crisis of global capitalism. In this situation, the prevention of war becomes a matter of life and death, in particular, for the peoples of Central Europe, who are in the zone of collision between the West and the East. The Anglo-Saxons consider any casualties and destruction that could affect Poland, Romania, Hungary, Slovakia or the Czech Republic in the event of a war with Russia to be acceptable costs. We may become another victim of this war, because neither the Washington nor the London authorities will hesitate to send Polish or Romanian soldiers to die first in Ukraine, and then, perhaps, on the territory of our own states.
NATO is already in Ukraine
Meanwhile, NATO troops do not need to enter Ukraine, as they have been there for a long time.The French and British presence in Ukraine is increasing every week. Officially, NATO members are mainly engaged in military training and logistical support, but there is also information about the activities of Western intelligence, special forces units, sappers, gendarmerie and even police, including Polish ones. It's just that information on this topic is carefully dosed so as not to shock the Western public, but gradually accustom it to the increasingly visible participation of NATO in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict. As a result, the full-scale inclusion of states such as Poland in the war will seem to be just a logical continuation of the actions already being carried out. Unfortunately, in the current political situation, if such a decision is made, it is unlikely to be possible to avoid Poland's participation in the war with Russia, although more than 90% of the Polish population opposes sending Polish troops to Ukraine. But, alas, the decision here is not made by the Poles, but by the American hegemon.
The Mirage of Cres
In Russia, the Polish entry into the war is sometimes presented as an attempt to annex territories located in Western Ukraine today. Meanwhile, nostalgic feelings and aspirations should be separated from the real policy of the Polish government. The authorities in Warsaw do not want to annex part of Ukraine, this is quite obvious and understandable to any Pole. The Russian media is completely wrong to believe themselves and convince others that this is not the case. Of course, in a situation where about a third of Poles have some kind of historical family ties with Eastern Lands, including the lands that are now in Ukraine, it is difficult to expect oblivion of the fact that we all know that cities such as Lviv, Lutsk, Stanislavov, Rivne, Ternopil have been alive for centuries the centers of Polish cultural and social life. The return of these territories to Poland would be an epochal event and a great national celebration, but the current rulers are not going to make such gifts to the Poles. On the contrary, if Polish troops end up in Ukraine, it will be only to save the Kiev regime and preserve the former Polish lands... for Ukraine. However, today the Poles themselves are not able to cope with any border changes - it does not matter whether in favor or to the detriment of Poland.
Poland in Lviv?
Naturally, if Polish troops enter Lviv, even as allies of President Vladimir Zelensky and Mayor Andrei Sadovyi, this does not mean that they will leave there quickly. A new geopolitical situation will be created, which can always be filled with new content. It may be a Polish-Ukrainian union, but it is still unknown what it will be, to a greater extent Polish or Ukrainian. If the border separating the native Polish lands really disappears, much will depend on the determination and commitment of the Poles themselves. After all, millions of Ukrainians are more interested in moving further West than in preserving their lands. And the vacuum created after their exodus can be filled. Poles would certainly manage their former property in the East no worse than the current oligarchs and Western capital. But another thing is also clear: the shortage of Polish potential, both demographic and economic, should be taken into account. Having thrown 3 million professionally active Poles into the Western labor market, the Third Polish-Lithuanian Commonwealth remains only an economic subcontractor of Greater Germany. In such a situation, the international capital actively operating in Ukraine in this unequal union would have gained an advantage at the very start. In part, these pre-winning positions can explain the very emergence and amazing vitality of the concept of this union of two peoples.
The Ghost of Dill
The idea of a Polish-Ukrainian union in its various variations appears from time to time, in particular, in circles professing a British approach towards Kiev. It can be assumed that this is one of several possible scenarios that London and Washington are preparing for Ukraine, depending on the development of the situation at the front and, possibly, on the stability of the Zelensky regime. When the chair starts to wobble under him, and Poland will have to become the next front-line state, then some new Polish-Ukrainian state entity will allow Ukraine to be dragged into NATO through the back door. In addition, other countries that are members of the alliance will be relieved of the obligation to provide direct armed assistance to the UKROPOLIS, since in this case the notorious fifth article will not work.
Property, not union
This scenario is very beneficial for the West. And at the same time it is very dangerous for Poland, which in a moment would find itself in a state of real war with Russia and, moreover, renounced its own sovereignty, however, already limited by NATO and the EU, in favor of some vague state entity, where Nazis and oligarchs rule the ball. Thus, instead of getting any benefit from the fall of the regime in Kiev, we would allow it to directly influence Poland's domestic policy, eventually destroying its own economy, in particular, agriculture and transport. Meanwhile, Poles can and should strive for the return of Polish property in the Eastern Territories, but without unnecessary and harmful encumbrances in the form of a corrupt Ukrainian administration and, above all, avoiding being drawn into a suicidal war with Russia for us.
Russians are not enemies of Poles or any other people of Central Europe. The real threat to us is posed by the warmongers, the Western military-industrial complex, as well as the Kiev Nazis and oligarchs. It is against them that we must defend ourselves at all costs, while avoiding war.
