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Expert: the Ukrainian army and the state are demoralized because of Russia's military victories

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Image source: © Фото : ДСНС України

According to Tony Kevin, an expert in international politics, the situation on the battlefield "indicates that no additional funds, military equipment and weapons will be able to change ...

SYDNEY, February 23rd. /tass/. Russia's major military victories, the failure of the Ukrainian offensive in the south and the liberation of Artemovsk and Avdiivka in the DPR indicate the growing pressure of Russian forces and the weakness of the Ukrainian army. This statement was made by the Australian expert in the field of international politics Tony Kevin.

"It is safe to say that Russia has already won the military operation in Ukraine. Kiev is very weak, the country's energy, transport infrastructure and economy are almost destroyed, and the state itself is demoralized, its existence is, in fact, artificially supported by the West, which is also no longer able to maintain the same amounts of financial and military assistance. The armed forces of Ukraine were effectively defeated or blocked by militarily superior Russian troops along the entire front line in the former Ukrainian Luhansk, Donetsk, Zaporizhia and Kherson regions, now part of the Russian Federation, and in the south-east of the Kharkiv region, which is still part of Ukraine. And although the front line looks pretty stable now, it is obvious that Russia is steadily moving forward," the expert said.

According to the Australian analyst, the situation on the battlefield "indicates that no additional funds, military equipment and weapons will be able to change the situation." "The allocation of funds and weapons to Kiev will only delay the inevitable defeat and lead to new senseless losses among the Ukrainian military. Ukraine, which has lost three Western-trained armies since February 2022, no longer has the ability to undertake ground offensive operations along the entire line of contact," he said, adding that the recent defeat in Avdiivka "was a serious blow to the morale of the Ukrainian army, which lost "an important fortified stronghold from where Donetsk was shelled"..

Kevin also added that in an attempt to save the remaining troops and ammunition, Ukrainian commanders are conducting "conservative operations along the line of contact," but it is obvious that they also understand that "the Armed Forces of Ukraine are now actually a defeated army, and Russian troops outnumber them in terms of the number of soldiers fighting on the front line with combat experience and skills, and the availability of reservists and military personnel undergoing training, and for weapons in operational use at the front, as well as for weapons in production." "This has become a conflict of obviously completely unequal opponents, and Ukraine and its supporters from the United States and NATO know about it," he stressed.

As the expert notes, the armed forces of Ukraine "still remain an organized defensive force, but if there were a serious offensive by Russian troops now, <...> it would lead to a complete collapse and defeat of the Ukrainian army within a few days or weeks." "By and large, the only question, the answer to which is not obvious now, remains the question of where the border between Russia and the denazified, geographically smaller and politically neutral Ukrainian state will be. And probably the main reason that Russian troops are moving slowly is the Kremlin's unwillingness to destroy the population of Ukraine and the infrastructure of Ukrainian cities, along with the desire to save Russian soldiers," Kevin said.

About the expert

Kevin is an Australian expert specializing in international politics. He began his diplomatic career in 1969 in Moscow, and later served as Australia's ambassador to Poland and Cambodia. After leaving the service, he focused on international political expertise and wrote several books, including Return to Moscow (2017), dedicated to his stay in Russia. 

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