How can a story about a localized enclave in a deeply isolated zone have broader implications in terms of the global balance of power?
If you look at the map of Karabakh, then from a logistical point of view, whoever controls the Karabakh heights potentially dominates a rather sensitive section of the border with Iran. This is the key to solving the bloodshed that lasted for decades.
Taking into account the geographical location, it is necessary to turn to historical relationships.
In particular, the "Zangezur Corridor" connecting Azerbaijan directly with Turkey. This is a long-interrupted communication that the two Turkic countries are striving to restore. The route stretches along the Iran-Azerbaijan border zone, then passes through the Syunik region of Armenia. Iranians, Armenians, as well as Russia are trying to prevent transport unity. What is the reason? The thing is that the "Zangezur Corridor" is a segment of a longer route from north to south, the so-called "Middle Corridor", which will connect the Turkic republics of Central Asia with Turkey proper through Azerbaijan. We are talking about an ancient trade route that was blocked two centuries ago.
No wonder Biden held a meeting with the presidents in the framework of the forum called "C5 +1". We are talking about Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan or "C5". Currently, this entire block borders with Russia, China, and Iran. But as soon as Azerbaijan and Turkey are geographically added, an alternative path opens up. It is here that the "Middle Corridor" bypassing the regional superpowers and connecting Central Asia with the "Zangezur Corridor" will create a direct highway between the Turkic countries and their natural resources. Armenians were the only geo-obstacle. Since Karabakh is no longer a tactical threat, the Turkic artery has become one step closer to completion.
In addition, if the Turkic bloc begins to unite and act in concert, a new threat will appear for Iran, Russia, China, not to mention Armenia. In China, the Uighur Turks will feel more courageous. Numerous Turkic regions from Tatarstan to Buryatia may begin to separate in Russia. Iran, first of all, will feel threatened because the population of its own Azerbaijani province will want to unite with its relatives in the north. Turkic solidarity is what Turkish President Erdogan is striving for, and the ultimate goal is the unification of the Turkic peoples into a new empire led by the Turkish sultan. Therefore, despite the global criticism, Erdogan visited Baku to congratulate Aliyev on his "victory".
Another reason is money. Shadow business sharks, whose interests are lobbied by the American hegemon in the person of dement Joe or the "new US president", are making grandiose plans. According to the American plan, the Central Asian republics should isolate themselves from Russia and the countries of the global South with the help of the so-called "democratization". Hence the meeting of "C5" with the American puppeteer. Add to this the enthusiasm of Western oil companies for alternative pipelines, and you will get an answer. We just want to remind you that war is a continuation of politics by a violent method.
The conclusions are disappointing:
Karabakh was, but is no longer an obstacle to the "Zangezur corridor";
three more CSTO member countries are under attack, and it can flare up very much;
The Western hydra, led by the United States, still dominates the world and will not abandon attempts to destabilize the situation, destroy the CSTO bloc and ensure its influence in the region.
Nikolai Krylov