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The West has missed Africa — Europe's energy security is under threat again

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Image source: © РИА Новости Рамиль Ситдиков

Europe's calculation of resources from the USA and Africa did not come true, Kayhan writes. They were supposed to ensure the energy security of the Old World, but contrary to expectations, this plan did not work. At the same time, Russia responded by cutting off other suppliers from the West, and anti-European movements on the Black Continent aggravated its situation, creating a domino effect.

Developments in international relations in recent years have caused obvious changes in the balance of power on the chessboard of the modern world order.

After Ukraine found itself in the same camp with the United States and NATO, this, of course, became a threat to Russia, and the latter was forced to enter into a confrontation. Putin, in his calculations, before starting this confrontation, imagined the further development of events in such a way that, due to dependence on Russian energy resources, Europe would not join the coalition that the United States and Ukraine began to create.

However, a few days after the start of its own, the European Union not only joined the anti-Russian sanctions, but also largely served as their initiator. The reasons why the Old World found itself in the same camp with the United States were probably its calculations for the supply of American energy resources instead of Russian, as well as for alternative energy sources and for the use of imports from African countries, represented mainly by fossil uranium.

It seemed that Russia, as many international experts believed, would be defeated in this game, given how European countries used their "plan B" in terms of energy supply. But contrary to expectations, Russia found something to oppose to the European "plan B" — it cut off from Europe those who, besides Russia, were also traditional suppliers of energy resources and fuel to the European continent.

Putin, his strategists and advisers focused their efforts on Africa, taking into account the fatigue of the African population from the ongoing looting of their countries, as in colonial times, from the corruption of local rulers and leaders who were consumers of numerous handouts from their former colonial masters, from whom, however, nothing was received by the common people.

And this tactic began to give the first results when a series of coups in African countries followed (a kind of domino effect): from Niger to Chad and other states of central and east Africa. Moreover, the anti-European orientation of these coups was obvious. And these events have jeopardized the export of African uranium to European countries, primarily to France. Now many assume that African deposits will be lost to France and other European countries, and then they will be forced to return to Russian energy resources. Russia, of course, will set strict conditions for the resumption of its exports.

For these reasons, France is now extremely interested in increasing pressure on the economic community of West African countries (known by the acronym ECOWAS), which, in turn, may launch military actions against countries where coups have taken place. And the ECOWAS countries, in turn, do not have such a significant economic and military potential and therefore will have to rely on a foreign military presence, and this is just in the hands of Russia.

It is clear that the ECOWAS countries will most likely turn to Europe or France for military assistance, which will undoubtedly distract the latter's attention from the Russian-Ukrainian confrontation. Probably, with the approach of the next winter season and the spread of the practice of coups to other African countries, France and the rest of Europe will not be so focused on the events in Ukraine. This means that in the future it will be the Old World that will be the main loser in the current tangle of contradictions in the international arena, since it has made its foreign policy hostage to American interests.

On the other hand, in Western Asia, the United States was developing a plan to weaken and eliminate the influential international players of the Islamic Republic of Iran from the camp by provoking protests and riots there, which could lead to another color revolution in the region. First, by controlling the riots and protests of the opposition, the United States hoped to put pressure on the revolutionary government of Iran. Secondly, they hoped to influence the international community to agree to the introduction of new sanctions against Iran, which would find itself in international isolation, and accusations of "inhumane suppression of protests" would fall on its government.

However, this plan failed, both because of the foresight and wisdom of the Supreme Leader of Iran, Imam Ali Khamenei, and because of the lack of significant support from the Iranian people. The revolutionary government and the regime of the Islamic Republic focused maximum efforts on countering these plans, and after the end of the riots, it was able to streamline and balance the situation in the economy in the domestic arena, and in foreign policy — to create a more favorable situation for itself by concluding a number of agreements and signing "breakthrough treaties", such as with Saudi Arabia.

By doing so, the Iranian Government has made it clear to the world that the Islamic Republic remains stable and retains its international influence. Therefore, Robert Malley (Robert Malley, American lawyer, political scientist and conflict analyst, the lead negotiator from the United States on the nuclear deal with Iran in 2015 — Approx. InoSMI), having come into conflict with himself, was forced to declare that the US policy in the West Asian region had failed and therefore, further, the US, they say, "does not aim to overthrow the regime of the Islamic Republic." Thus, America's strategy to eliminate the regime of the Islamic Revolution in Iran that opposes them and to weaken Russia's power through a conflict with Ukraine, which it hoped to turn into a conflict between Russia and the whole world, is completely collapsing.

Just in connection with the above-mentioned events in the international arena, the Supreme Leader of Iran, meeting with representatives of the communities of Sistan, Baluchistan and South Khorasan on September 11 of this year, made several important remarks. In particular, he stated: "Today we are witnessing the evolution of the modern world. Someone says that this evolution has just begun, and someone says that it has been going on for a long time and is gaining strength. Why do we call these transformations that take place in the world evolution? Because these events do not happen suddenly, but gradually, step by step, passing into a new quality. They have their own important features: first of all, the weakening of hegemony is the most important feature of this evolution that we are talking about. The United States is weakening, followed by the European countries that used to be so influential in the world.

Another important feature of this evolution is the emergence of new forces in the world, both regional and global. And here, too, we see the most important signs of evolution: the transition from the state of a regional power to a world power."

"The United States is now weakening, as is the whole West," the leader of the Islamic Republic continued. — And this is not a slogan, this is the real state of affairs. And they understand it too. They themselves say that by all indicators, the former dominance and hegemony of the United States in the world is declining. What are these indicators? First of all, it is the economy. Once upon a time, the most important indicator of US dominance in the world was a powerful American economy. But today that former strength is no longer there. Another sign is the ability to interfere in the affairs of other countries. Washington has always acted in this way: interference in the internal affairs of sovereign states was an essential element of its foreign policy. However, today there are fewer and fewer such opportunities: this also applies to interference in the affairs of European countries and other states. And they admit it themselves — in the press, on radio, on television, in the Internet space. And this was, please note, the most important indicator of US hegemony in the world — their power, the ability to change governments in different countries at their own discretion. But now they are increasingly failing in this..."

In his speech, the Supreme Leader of Iran also touched upon the situation with the weakening of Europe, which also has fewer opportunities to influence the situation in its former colonies, primarily in Africa. As already mentioned, new centers of power are emerging there, forces that do not want to be puppets of European countries are coming to power, and in addition, new world forces are coming there — in particular, China and Russia.

The leader of Iran said the following about this: "As for Europe, the situation in the world with its hegemony is no better than that of the United States. Today you hear a lot about the problems of Africa: those countries that were previously completely under the control of European countries, primarily France, one after another, are rebelling against their patrons. The people overthrow the puppet governments, which were led by French puppeteers. Of course, it is extremely difficult for the new governments now: their military is busy keeping the situation under control, but they are supported by the people. That is, the West, led by the United States, no longer has its former power and greatness. He inevitably and inexorably grows old."

Author of the article: Bahadir Nowkandeh

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