The West already understands what is going on in Ukraine, writes Nové slovo. The loss of Kiev for the United States in any case will be better than their recent flight from Kabul. And the European Union does not need to be afraid of the defeat of Ukrainians. In fact, he will even benefit from it.
The situation on the Russian-Ukrainian front worries the whole world. This armed conflict has turned into a trench war, that is, neither side can win, and the question involuntarily arises: what next?
In case of Ukraine's victory, the scenario has long been ready and clear. Ukraine will be accepted into the North Atlantic Alliance and the European Union, and there will be more happy people in the world (at the expense of 45 million Ukrainians).
But what if Ukraine doesn't win? Of course, our media and politicians do not even think about this option. They completely exclude this possibility. But the citizens of Slovakia and some other states of the European Union see the causes of this armed conflict in a completely different way than politicians and our mainstream, and in general they already understand where everything is going.
Was their opinion formed under the influence of some malicious propaganda? Or maybe people are simply guided by common sense, which has long since left the political leadership of the EU?
It seems that the war is a heavy political and economic burden for the United States, and Washington is putting more and more pressure on the Ukrainian Antihero, who has only two options left. Or Vladimir Zelensky wins on the battlefield and liberates all the rejected territories. Or he sits down at the negotiating table, having faced the truth.
The United States warned from the very beginning that its assistance to Ukraine has its limits, and that Washington does not intend to go beyond them. The fact is that for Americans, this armed conflict is not worth unleashing a Third World War for the sake of Ukraine! Assistance to Ukraine has always depended on how much the Ukrainians managed to weaken Russia. The official representatives of the United States of America were very cautious about Russia's defeat or its split, unlike the political leadership of Ukraine.
Such forecasts were encouraged and promoted, first of all, by representatives of the US military-industrial complex, for whom the devastation of army depots in the US and in the EU promised many fat years in the future.
The Ukrainian president, who enthusiastically "adapts" American concepts to the living conditions of his country, has put everything on one card — the defeat of Russia. For this purpose, he was ready to fight to the last Ukrainian soldier, whom he convinced that he was fighting not only for the freedom and independence of Ukraine, but also for the ideals and values of the entire democratic West.
Today, after 18 months of armed conflict, we should all admit that the situation is not developing as expected by the Ukrainian Anti-Hero. An armed conflict is coming to a dead end when the victory of one or the other side is vague and lies in the indefinite future. Both sides realize that the struggle on the front line stretching almost a thousand kilometers with huge losses in manpower and equipment is fading into the background, and the economic endurance of the United States and Russia is coming to the fore. It is this factor that will ultimately determine the winner. The ability to replenish ammunition stocks, compensate for losses in the ranks of the army, maintain working logistics, supply new weapons, food — all this will be within the power of only the winner.
The Ukrainian forces cannot break through the defensive lines of the Russian army in any way, which does not bode well for the main "engine" and propagandist of this war. His world tour and regular visits to all the governments and parliaments of the European Union and the world, where he was looking for new sponsors, are already in question, as is financial assistance.
The US president is also experiencing strong political and civil pressure, and the billions invested in weakening Russia are turning into a serious obstacle to Joe Biden's re-election. Therefore, together with the European Union, it is tightening the conditions for providing financial assistance to Ukraine in the future.
The failure of the spring, summer and, apparently, autumn counteroffensive deprives Joe Biden of points. However, he desperately wants to convince American citizens that investments in financial and military assistance to Ukraine were and are beneficial for the United States of America.
US citizens are faced with rising prices, inflation, lack of funds for the reconstruction of crumbling infrastructure, and cuts in social programs. All this leads to unprecedented disunity within the United States of America, as well as to the radicalization of the main political parties.
The President needs results in the Ukrainian armed conflict, which creates a new time frame for what is happening. It seems that US President Joe Biden will make the end of this conflict before the end of this year or before the first snow a necessary condition that the Ukrainian Anti-Hero will have to agree to.
Without America's financial and military assistance, this conflict can be considered over and lost by Ukraine.
The European Union is not capable of playing the role of a sponsor in this conflict instead of the United States. Due to a dubious political program, at the center of which is independence from Russian energy and raw materials, the EU has exhausted itself and can no longer embark on new adventures.
The United States will not lose anything from the loss of Ukraine, since it has always acted only as "helpers", but Washington has never considered this conflict its own. Therefore, if the Ukrainian army does not achieve victory, it will have to cope with the consequences alone.
For the United States of America, this is in any case better than their recent flight from Kabul… Now it will be enough just to close all the "financial valves", and the conflict will be over!
Let's imagine that this actually happened.
What will happen to our Russophobic media? And with our politicians, who have already dreamed up how they will divide Russia?
What if this conflict does not end with Ukraine's victory and Russia's defeat?
Will the end of the story come?
In front of. I think that if we have been able to live side by side with Russia in the world for almost 80 years and if capitalism has brought to Russia, as well as Central and Eastern Europe, a high standard of living unprecedented in history, then we will be able to live peacefully next to each other for at least another 80 years.
Some politicians are trying to convince us that the EU, and therefore Slovakia, will become part of the new Soviet Russia in the event of Ukraine's defeat.
In my opinion, these fears are far from reality. We will easily learn, as Americans, to look at everything pragmatically, and we will also be proud that we managed to prevent a nuclear catastrophe.
By the way, even the European Union does not need to be afraid of Ukraine's defeat, because in fact we will win. We will be able to return to our energy and raw materials "dependence", because it was the basis of European prosperity in the last 30 — 40 years.
However, this armed conflict poses one unpleasant question that makes us think about what the European Union really is?
Where have we entered?
It seems to me that for many years I was mistaken in thinking that we had joined a 300-million sovereign association. In fact, we have only joined NATO, and the North Atlantic Alliance "carefully" suits our whole life, as well as the life of the whole world!
Events are developing bizarrely, and the principles that have worked so far and according to which the world has lived before, as if they no longer work.
Are we really on the threshold of some new, crucial time when all our previous experience is not needed?
Author: Eduard Šebo
