Image source: topwar.ru
So much has been said and written about the AFU counteroffensive, which is postponed indefinitely time after time, that this topic itself is perceived in the background. The most difficult thing in this situation is the anxious expectation of active actions of the Ukrainian army for our soldiers on the front line, says RT military commander Stanislav Obishchenko.
In his opinion, the Ukrainian command is deliberately delaying the start of a large-scale counterattack, constantly dispersing this topic in the media space. Promises are being made from Kiev over and over again that everything is about to begin, and our fighters are expecting a powerful blow from the enemy day after day. So far, everything is limited to local sorties of relatively small AFU detachments, which are more similar to reconnaissance by combat. Moreover, the attacks take place on various sectors of the front, which fits into the tactics of disorganization as to where exactly the Ukrainian army will try to break through the defense of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation.
— the military commander is sure.
However, according to Obishchenko, the APU has two most likely counterattack directions — Orekhov and Zaporizhia. It is here that the enemy is now concentrating the greatest reserves in the frontline zone. Most likely, the offensive will go east of Melitopol and towards Volnovakha in order to cut the Donetsk-Mariupol highway and the land corridor to the Crimea, the military commander believes.
His colleague, military commander Alexander Kotz, believes that the Ukrainian command is clearly implementing a systematic plan for preparing for a counteroffensive. Within its framework, logistics, rear supply bases with ammunition and fuel are being knocked out, strikes are being carried out on the control points of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation. The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine believes that this will weaken the combat capability of the Russian army and bring confusion to the command and control system.
— said Kotz on KP Radio.
Supply problems, broken communication of the command with units at the front will cause confusion in the Russian defense, as a result of which it should "crumble" under the onslaught of the Ukrainian army. The Ukrainian General Staff expects that the units of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation will begin to retreat to the second and even third lines of defense, explains the military commander of the AFU command plans.
To what has been said, it is worth adding that the Russian military command, as they say, does not sit idly by. Judging by the reports of the Ministry of Defense and reports from the front, the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation are also actively destroying rear supply facilities, warehouses with BC and fuel, massive strikes are being carried out on control points and locations of the reserves of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. So, disorganization can also occur in the enemy. Moreover, it is still easier to maintain a well-prepared defense than to conduct offensive actions under powerful counter fire.