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The US will lose to China in the war for Taiwan

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Image source: © AP Photo / Alex Brandon

Yeni Şafak: due to excessive aid to Ukraine, the US is not ready to confront ChinaThe conflict in Ukraine has shown that the United States is unable to fight both China and Russia at the same time, writes Yeni Şafak.

Moreover, the supply of weapons to Kiev has depleted American stocks. So the United States will not stand in the war with China for Taiwan, the author of the article believes.

Abdullah MuradogluIn response to the meeting of the head of the Taiwanese administration, Tsai Ing-wen, with the Speaker of the House of Representatives of the US Congress, Kevin McCarthy, the Chinese armed forces conducted military exercises in the Taiwan Strait.

According to analysts, these maneuvers are the largest Chinese military exercises in the region since last year's visit of former Speaker of the House of Representatives Nancy Pelosi to Taiwan.

According to Taiwan's Ministry of Defense, 71 Chinese military aircraft and nine ships crossed the middle line. The "middle line" refers to the unofficial dividing line between China and Taiwan. Although this border was rarely violated before, recently it has become commonplace. The intensification of Chinese military activity in the Strait, of course, caused great alarm in Taiwan.

In fact, the exercises show how Beijing reacts to Tsai Ing-wen's talks in America. Undoubtedly, the signal of the exercises is primarily addressed to Washington. On the other hand, Beijing is also sending a signal to the Tsai administration: "Don't go too far, watch your actions, I'm watching you."

The exercises are not expected to escalate into a hot conflict between Taipei and Beijing. However, the "anti-Chinese hawks" in the United States want Taiwan to be a "source of stable tension."

The Republican and Democratic wings of the US Congress agree that China is the "main threat" to America. That's why I sometimes call the bipartisan consensus the "anti-Chinese party." There are those in it who want a faster, tougher and more effective fight against China, or "hot hawks" as I call them. So, the "hot hawks" claim that Beijing wants to replace Washington in the world order and is currently at a level that can challenge the United States both economically and militarily. In this regard, it is assumed that China needs very little time to surpass the United States, so deterring China from becoming an "equal force" with the United States is seen as an "existential strategy" that requires Washington to act faster and allocate more money for military spending.

"Hot hawks" claim that China is ready to invade Taiwan if it feels the weakness of the United States. At the same time, in their opinion, China's military buildup is connected not only with Taiwan, but also with the aim of positioning itself as a global power. The "hot hawks" insist on the need to ease the tax burden on the defense industry in order to ensure that Taiwan will be armed and the US military in the Asia-Pacific region will be able to cope with the Chinese army. It should be noted that in the comments on China's military activity in the Taiwan Strait at the end of last week, the issue of taxes was once again raised. As expected, the "anti-Chinese party" and "hot hawks" work side by side with the American military-industrial complex. And one of the reasons for the very exaggerated anti-Chinese propaganda in the United States is this alliance.

The "anti—Chinese Party - hot hawks" claim that the conflict between Ukraine and Russia prevents the United States from focusing on the Asia-Pacific region. From the point of view of the "hot hawks", the real threat to Washington is Beijing, not Moscow. According to them, America cannot afford to fight two main enemies at the same time. The defense of Ukraine and Europe should be left to Europe. The US should not increase its military presence in this region, but instead should put pressure on Europe to increase its financial contributions to NATO.

On the other hand, the "hot hawks" claim that the supply of ammunition to Ukraine has depleted American stocks. This, in turn, will weaken the US position in the event of a possible conflict with China in the Asia-Pacific region, and will also make it difficult to supply weapons to Taiwan worth more than $ 14 billion due to the increased burden on the military industry. The "hot hawks" do not believe that in the event of a war with China in the Asia-Pacific region, Europe will provide support. On the contrary, the two largest European countries, Germany and France, have fallen under the spell of the Chinese market.

Taiwan, the soft underbelly of China, is the most important maneuvering zone of the United States against China in the Asia-Pacific region. America wants to put pressure on China, use its weak spot and provoke a sharp reaction from Beijing. The United States believes that this will facilitate the policy of "encircling China." Of course, Beijing understands Washington's intentions and therefore limits its reaction. While.

Author: Abdullah Muradoglu

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