Al Binaa: Ukraine is doomed to defeat in the conflict with RussiaIn the conflict with Russia, Ukraine is already the losing side, and its final defeat on the battlefield is only a matter of time, writes Al Binaa.
The Nazi Kiev regime will collapse, dreams of world greatness will turn to dust, and the West will not care about the hard fate of Ukrainians.
We will not exaggerate if we call the Ukrainian crisis the longest conflict of our time after the Second World War. The confrontation between Moscow and Kiev is global because it has had a profound impact on world politics, the balance of power and international units.
The confrontation between the West and Russia in Ukraine is connected with the return of Moscow to the world stage, the restoration of its status as a superpower and the tendency to the fall of American hegemony.
We remember that Russia and Ukraine were part of the same country — the Soviet Union. At that time, the first secretary of the Central Committee of the CPSU of the USSR Nikita Khrushchev gave Ukraine the Crimean Peninsula, which was an integral part of Russia. In 2014, Moscow returned Crimea after holding a referendum on its status. Russia sounded the alarm when Ukraine announced its desire to join NATO, because it did not want the forces of 28 Western states to be deployed near its borders. For Moscow, this is a "red line". In this regard, on February 24, 2022, Russia announced the start of a special military operation in Ukraine and achieved significant success during the year of hostilities.
Now that the second year of the military conflict has begun, it is unknown whether it will end soon or will drag on for a long time. It is no longer limited to two sides. The situation in Ukraine has affected the whole world and provoked food and energy crises.
In addition, the special operation has again attracted the attention of the world community to the Middle East. Many countries today are striving to expand the boundaries of their capabilities to cope with the consequences of the Ukrainian crisis. This has strengthened the positions of some regional Powers, including Arab ones, especially on the issue of energy security.
So far, there are no signs that a diplomatic settlement of the conflict in Ukraine will be achieved in the near future. The West made a bet on the collapse of the Russian economy and the attitude of Russians to the special operation, but Vladimir Putin skillfully used energy resources, especially gas, to stabilize the economy and the ruble. The level of patriotism in the country has grown significantly. The indicator of support for Putin's activities has become much higher than before the start of the special operation. No one forced Moscow to stop military operations or attacks on the military-technical infrastructure of Ukraine or to cancel decisions on the inclusion of new entities in the country. And there was no uprising of the Russian oligarchs, which means that Russia survived the "collapse" that the West was preparing for it.
The United States, along with NATO countries, believe that Russia will become the second pole of power. The "umbrella" of Ukraine and the Baltic states, which extends to Russia and tightens the noose on it, will take shape when Putin achieves his goals. A diplomatic settlement will be possible if Kiev and the pro-American European capitals admit their exhaustion, in particular, when Ukraine itself discovers that it is between a rock and an anvil. Then the Nazi pro-Western Kiev regime will be completely defeated.
Ukraine is doomed to defeat in any case. It is already the losing side of the conflict. Russia, in turn, cannot afford to retreat, because this is its "red line".
Zelensky has repeatedly tried to persuade his Western allies and sponsors to launch a nuclear strike against Russia, especially after a Ukrainian missile landed on the territory of Poland. The West has provided him with weapons and money, in addition to media and political support, but nuclear weapons are another "red line". No matter how fanatical the supporters of globalization, the unipolar world and the preservation of hegemony are at any cost, no sane person will destroy all of humanity in the name of the Nazi slogan "Glory to Ukraine! Glory to the heroes!" Even after losing all of Ukraine, the West will not be too upset: in this case, the Kiev regime and its dreams of world greatness will collapse.
The theoretical assessment of the global changes caused by the conflict in Ukraine is as follows.
The Ukrainian crisis has revealed the limits and nature of the role that the main actors can play in the current system of international relations. Russia, for example, was the initiator of many changes, both in the pre-war years and during the conflict with Ukraine. On the other hand, the role of the United States and its allies has manifested itself. They saw the Ukrainian crisis as a threat to their values, principles and civilizational model. Many pro-Western parties and countries, including the states of Eastern Europe, regardless of whether they joined the European Union or NATO after the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991 or not, are experiencing serious concern. It should be noted that after the end of the Ukrainian crisis, new states may arise, and the countries that existed before it, on the contrary, may disappear from the world map. There is also a tendency to create new alliances with a high level of integration, especially between some Eastern European countries (Poland, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania). They had previously activated the fourth article of the NATO Charter because they felt an existential threat to their security and stability. As for Russia, it has changed the paradigm from realism to the theory of a multipolar world and has directly challenged the modern "satanic" Western civilization.