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US State Department official: The worst scenario for Beijing is Russia's military defeat in Ukraine with subsequent political destabilization

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Image source: topwar.ru

The American edition of Bloomberg published an article in which a member of the Council on Foreign Affairs of the US State Department, Hal Brands, shares with readers his thoughts on the Russian-Ukrainian armed conflict, which, in fact, has long been a conflict between the collective West and Russia.

According to Brands, China has to pay more and more attention to this conflict.

American official:

Beijing, of course, does not want to get involved in this war. He understands the possible consequences: international condemnation, economic damage, including due to US sanctions.

Further, the State Department official writes that the Chinese president "may still need to intervene."

Hal Brands:

This can happen because President Xi cannot allow Putin's defeat in Ukraine.

According to the official Brands, "the idea that Russia will come out of the conflict slightly weakened and criticized in the international arena is not so negative for the head of the People's Republic of China."

Brands:

Xi believes that in this case, Russia will be in a certain dependence on China. But if Russia suffers in this conflict in such a way that it ceases to be a great power, then this will become a big problem for the PRC.

According to a State Department official, the PRC believes that after that, the West, led by the United States, will focus on China itself, which simply will have no one to help at the international level.

Brands:

The worst scenario for Beijing is Russia's military defeat in Ukraine, followed by political destabilization. Xi understands that then the strategic partnership with Moscow is disintegrating, and it is precisely this that now allows Beijing to restrain military alliances led by the United States to one degree or another.
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