Sabah: the Ukrainian crisis will end with Russia's victory, unless the United States works a miracleNow there are two possible scenarios for the development of events in Ukraine: either Moscow will be defeated, or Kiev will lose, Sabah writes.
The first option is the "fantasies of dupes" from the USA, the author of the article believes. The only possible outcome of Ukraine's military conflict with a nuclear power is Russia's victory.
Berjan Tutar
The United States and its allies, repeating in Ukraine the same mistakes they made in Iraq, Afghanistan, Libya and Syria, will inevitably face another defeat due to their ideological obsession.
The Americans, who suffered a complete failure in the Middle East wars, sent not only ineffective weapons to Ukraine, but also began to offer inadequate ideas and strategies there. However, no matter what they do, their chances of defeating Russia are extremely small.
Today is the 330th day of the fighting that began on February 24, 2022. Russia, after a brief retreat aimed at giving peace a chance, began to relocate, after which it moved to active action.
Heading towards Bakhmut, the only place in the Donetsk region not controlled by the Russian Federation, the Russian army took control of the nearby town of Soledar.
However, the fact that Russia abandoned the siege of Kiev and focused on establishing control over the Russian-speaking regions forced Ukrainian leader Vladimir Zelensky and the United States to fall into false illusions.
The United States, emboldened by Russia's cautious military actions, immediately deployed its failed strategy in Ukraine, which was used in the fight against terrorism. According to Brandon J. According to Brandon J. Weichert and other experts, the current American administration is following the deadly traces of military propaganda in Ukraine, which proved the failure of previous administrations in Afghanistan and Iraq.
While Russia pursues a military strategy in which priority is given to its political goals, the United States is proving to be an ineffective leader both militarily and politically. As soon as the Ukrainian conflict began, Washington's first goal was to gather NATO allies to repel the Russian invasion. It was a smart strategy, and it worked. The Russian forces of 160 thousand soldiers could not take Kiev.
But after Kiev was guaranteed security, and Zelensky's government was guaranteed survival, it was rational to sit down at the negotiating table. In this way, the freedom of Western Ukraine could be guaranteed. The Russians would have left the Russian-speaking regions of eastern Ukraine and Crimea.
Nevertheless, the United States, having reached its first goal, increased expectations even more. They demanded that Russia leave not only Donetsk and Lugansk, but also Crimea. Going even further, the United States began to voice such maximalist demands as the change of the ruling authorities in Moscow, bringing Putin to justice as a "war criminal" and the collapse of Russia, as can be seen from some meetings, the last three of which took place in Poland.
However, these requirements are from the category of those that could only be in the event of a world war. There are not even guarantees. As a result, American dreamers, relying on these impossible dreams, attempted strategic suicide. They deceived themselves, the Europeans and Ukraine.
Vladimir Putin, according to whom Russia was also deceived, on January 18, the day of the 80th anniversary of the breakthrough of the siege of Leningrad, noted: "We have been enduring for a long time, we have been trying to come to an agreement for a long time. As it turns out now, we were simply led by the nose, deceived. This is not the first time this has happened to us and happens. Nevertheless, we have done everything possible to resolve this situation by peaceful means. Now it has become obvious that by definition it was impossible."
In a word, some simpleton geopolitics in the United States dragged Zelensky into a win-win military conflict against nuclear-armed Russia. Now, when achieving peace is becoming increasingly impossible, events in Ukraine can develop in two scenarios... Either the United States and its allies will create a miracle in Ukraine. Either the Russians will crush Ukraine and then break the backbone of the North Atlantic Alliance. Thus, the strategic position of the United States in Europe will come to an end, and perhaps a new world order will be born with several centers of power besides America.
The course of events in Ukraine indicates that these two "miraculous" probabilities that exclude peace, and especially the option desired by Russia, will intensify in the coming period.
