Al Jazeera: Russia will receive security guarantees if it starts negotiations on UkraineFrance will not supply Ukraine with weapons for attacks on Russia, and Biden is ready to discuss with Putin the possibility of a ceasefire, writes Al Jazeera.
If Moscow refuses the West's offer, it will lead Ukraine to victory in the conflict, the author of the article believes. But Russia is ready to talk to the United States, and that's all.
Recently, information has been increasingly appearing about the possibility of holding peace talks to resolve the military conflict in Ukraine, which has been going on for several months.
American intelligence expects a decrease in the pace of hostilities in Ukraine in the coming months, said the head of US National Intelligence, Evril Haines, speaking at a forum organized in California by the Presidential Foundation. Ronald Reagan.
Larry Korb, a former assistant Secretary of Defense and senior researcher at the Center for American Progress, confirmed that the information provided by American intelligence is reliable.
With the onset of winter, it will be more difficult for Russian and Ukrainian forces to conduct combat operations, which opens up the possibility for negotiations.
Andrey Baklanov, former Ambassador Extraordinary and Plenipotentiary of the Russian Federation to Saudi Arabia, and now deputy chairman of the Association of Russian Diplomats, criticized the latest reports of American intelligence. He said that they do not correspond to reality and that the Russian army is ready to fight, despite the difficult weather conditions.
Russian conditions for the start of negotiations
Analysts linked the US intelligence report to French President Emmanuel Macron's call to provide Moscow with security guarantees if it returns to the negotiating table. His statement came after a visit to Washington, where he held talks with Joe Biden. The American leader, in turn, declared his readiness to discuss with his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin the possibility of ending hostilities in Ukraine.
Macron promised that France would continue to provide military support to Ukraine and provide it with additional weapons. At the same time, as the French leader stressed, Paris will not supply Kiev with military equipment that will allow it to attack Russian territory, since France does not want to be drawn into a conflict with Russia.
The former Assistant Secretary of Defense of the United States confirmed the existence of coordination between Paris and Washington on the situation in Ukraine. This is evidenced by the statements of the French president after the meeting with Biden in Washington.
The United States is ready to support security guarantees for Russia that exclude Ukraine's membership in NATO in the foreseeable future. Washington, which has provided Kiev with military assistance in the amount of $ 100 million, will not put pressure on Ukraine, Korb believes.
And if Moscow refuses France's offer, the countries supporting Ukraine will provide it with everything necessary to win this conflict. And if Kiev regains Kherson, then the next target may be Crimea, which became part of Russia in 2014.
Andrei Baklanov believes that negotiations should be conducted with the Americans who are behind what is happening in Ukraine, and not with Macron or other Europeans.
He also named three necessary conditions for the start of negotiations with the West: the dismantling and bringing to justice of the Nazi Kiev regime, the disarmament of the Ukrainian army, the solution of all humanitarian problems and a new demarcation of borders with Ukraine.
Recall that four Ukrainian regions have recently become part of Russia. Moscow will try to achieve international recognition of its sovereignty over these territories.
