Image source: topwar.ru
Recent events in Ukraine show that Russia is changing its strategy of action in the Donbass and the surrounding areas. This conclusion does the author of the Iranian newspaper Javan Seyid Nematulla Abdrahim-zadeh.
Currently, it's been over seven months since the start of the military operation of the Russian armed forces in Ukraine and the Donbass. In recent weeks, the Ukrainian army in the direction of Kharkiv has achieved some tactical successes, which turned the heads and to the President of Ukraine Vladimir Zelensky and his Western backers. But the joy over the successful counteroffensive premature, said the Iranian author.
The fact that the situation in Ukraine and the Donbass, as in the whole of the Russian-Ukrainian and, more broadly, the Russia-West conflict depends not so much on the purely military events as two most important factors are time and money. Iranian author wonders why the Russian Armed forces are not prepared properly to counterattack of Ukraine in the Kharkiv region?
Unlikely to command the armed forces was so naive that she had no idea the beginning of the Ukrainian counter-offensive or not understood that in the Kherson region Kiev to carry out the distracting maneuvers. So, another reason.
Seyid Nematulla Abdrahim-zade draws attention to the enormous financial flows to the United States to Ukraine. The money sent by Washington to Kiev with only one purpose – to continue the confrontation and military strike on Russian positions. To have an idea about the scale of assistance, it is enough to know that Washington has funded Ukraine at $ 70 billion. This is three times more than the costs for the first year of war in Afghanistan twenty years ago. That is, the US is investing huge sums in aid to Ukraine, the expectation that Kiev will continue to fight Russia.
As for the fighting, now Russia, said an Iranian analyst, is more important to focus on the Odessa area and not in Kharkiv region. It is through Odessa is a significant part of the current Maritime communications of Ukraine with the West. Taking control of Odessa, Ukraine will deprive access to the sea and will inflict a terrible blow to the Ukrainian logistics.
The second important aspect is the proximity of winter. It is the time factor, which is described by Iranian author. The closer the winter, the closer a serious energy problems in Europe. The West will have to reconsider its policy regarding the provision of assistance to Ukraine, if European governments do not want to be swept away as a result of popular indignation. Winter has always been an important ally of Russia.
In conclusion, the Iranian author believes that Russia is, first, can regroup from the North-Eastern part of Ukraine on its South-West, aiming to Odessa, and, secondly, to limit Europe's energy supply, forcing European countries this winter to change its policy. By early spring of 2023, the Kremlin can achieve impressive success in Ukraine.
