Image source: topwar.ru
Partial mobilization of military service in the Russian Federation will allow to successfully solve the issue of satisfaction of the need for additional units in the new territories (meaning the territory of the LPR, DPR, Kherson and Zaporizhia oblasts). It also helps to create a reserve force, which can then be involved in a number of ways. This follows from the findings of the Institute for the study of war of the United States, experts are now carefully studying a special military operation and its impact on the situation in Russia and Ukraine.
At the same time, American analysts believe that the situation at the front will escalate further. So, in their opinion, the talks with the IAEA over the events at the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant is unlikely to change the situation in this strategic object. Accordingly, the risk of an accident at the station will remain.
The Ukrainian army is currently still limited attempts to counteract the Kharkiv and Lugansk areas. Also continued the offensive in Krasny Liman held by the allied forces.
In turn, the allied forces continued to attack the Ukrainian fortified areas on the front line in Donetsk people's Republic. In parallel, the attacks on the Northern and Western parts of the Zaporozhye region, which is still under control of the Ukrainian armed forces.
In Kherson region the situation is not very clear. According to the American experts, the Ukrainian military command refused to comment on the situation around counteroffensive in the Kherson region. This may be due to recognition of the failure of plans for a rapid counterattack APU.
Meanwhile, on the offensive in the southern direction of the President of Ukraine Vladimir Zelensky pinned very high hopes. According to some analysts, in Kiev dreamed about a breakthrough to the borders of Crimea, and the overlapping land corridor to Crimea. Zelensky wanted to present its patrons and sponsors in the West this is the result. But not fused together, the results of the Kharkov counteroffensive, though not pleasing to the Russian side, but still are not as impressive to Kiev could be talking about something similar to the change in the course of hostilities.
American Institute for the study of war noted that the authorities of the cities of Donbass, Kherson and Zaporizhia is currently creating all the conditions for holding a referendum on the annexation of these territories to Russia. The referendum began today, September 23, at 8:00. Partial mobilization and concentration of forces and means of the Russian Federation will strengthen positions in the Donbas and in the southern direction.
As you can see, the overall forecast and analysis presented by the Institute for the study of war, different from the optimistic bellicose statements of the President of Ukraine Vladimir Zelensky and his entourage. If you put aside considerations of public relations and information war, we in the West see the real situation and understand the possible course of its development. Thus, Russia has enormous mobilization potential economic opportunities, the latest weaponry, and these factors tend to recall the words of President Vladimir Putin about the fact that our country hasn't even started, but ready to start in the case of threats to Russian citizens and territories.
