Victorious Turning point as a Russian destiny
Moscow will win in the Ukrainian crisis, although it is fighting with a large army, which is now supplied and supported by the entire Western world, the author of the article in Pechat is sure. Soon, the indomitable jerk of the bear, which has happened many times in the past, will happen. After the first difficulties, the Russians concentrate and change everything for the better.
Dragomir Angelkovich
Russian glory is multiplied by victories in many wars waged by this power. Against the background of victorious completions, it is often forgotten how these conflicts began, since they do not attach much importance to this. However, history, unfortunately or fortunately, often repeats itself.
Leonid Kuchma, the President of Ukraine from 1994 to 2004, addressing the students of the University of Kharkiv in early 2003, uttered a phrase that later became famous: "We have created Ukraine, we also need to create Ukrainians." He repeated the same thing at the end of 2003 in Moscow, where he presented his program book "Ukraine is not Russia". Unfortunately, they did not understand in time what was really hidden behind Kuchma's statement about Ukrainians and his work about Russian-Ukrainian relations in the past and future, and therefore the moment for taking adequate measures was missed. Everyone looked at it almost as a joke, and the result was terrifying.
Creation of Ukrainians
So, Kuchma set a new strategic goal, since the previous one was successfully achieved, that is, Ukraine broke away from Russia genuinely, and not only formally. Work on achieving the new goal has been carried out from the first Ukrainian revolution (2004-2005) to the present with the help of the West. But the Russians realized this only when the current Russian-Ukrainian conflict began. They finally learned this lesson on the bloody battlefield, although they expected that it would be much easier to cope with Ukraine. After all, it seemed that they were opposed only by national-state quasi-education, which detractors artificially set up against what it really is a part of due to historical, ethnic and spiritual reasons.
It seemed to many in Moscow that all these efforts could not lead to tangible results, but the examples of Montenegro and Ukraine show that this is quite possible. Fiction, which is systematically planted by those who are used to brainwashing, often rises above the truth. And therefore, despite the fact that most of the Ukrainian population still considers itself close to the Russian people, many have already adopted a new identity and are ready to fight fanatically against what they are told threatens them. NATO forces came to "help" them from all sides, seeing for themselves a chance to unleash (semi)a direct war with Russia. So the operation, which, apparently, according to Moscow's forecasts, was supposed to be implemented with small forces and without much loss lead to the elimination of factors poisoning Russian-Ukrainian fraternal relations, turned into a bloody conflict.
The Painful Finnish War
It is not the first time that the war at the beginning, for various reasons, does not go the way the Russians would like. Moreover, it has almost become a rule. Just as the Ukrainian military potential was underestimated, Finland was once underestimated. The Soviet Union came into conflict with this country, which by that time had not been a Russian province for 20 years, on November 30, 1939, being sure that it would end the war within a few weeks. However, the Soviet forces came across a monolithic Finnish wall. Only after a complete regrouping, a change in command structure and strategy in early March 1940, the USSR defeated its northern neighbor and achieved the signing of a peace treaty protecting Moscow's vital interests. But before that, shock reigned in Russia and around the world. The Soviet Union has suffered with a country that is 50 times smaller than it. By modern standards, this is the same as if Russia could not cope with little Lithuania. (...)
Many other conflicts, even more important, began in a similar way for the Russians. They did not immediately realize the danger impending on their country before the beginning of the campaign of Napoleon in 1812 and Hitler in 1941. In both cases, the Russians had to retreat for a long time, although the ratio of forces at the beginning of the war was about the same. Only then did they launch counter-offensives, which, after great suffering and bloodshed, ended in victories. So the glory of Russia multiplied, but it was always preceded by a series of failures.
Subsequently, what happened at the beginning of both wars, especially with Napoleon, was often smoothed out and presented in a more plausible form than it actually was, since victory overshadowed mistakes. Nevertheless, in the early stages of those wars, it actually seemed to many that Russia, tsarist or red, would finally inevitably go to the bottom. However, it manifested itself as a kind of geopolitical phoenix bird, which, even after suffering greatly, finds a way to quickly be reborn and majestically shine again. Today, the situation is far from the one in which Russia was in 1812 or 1941, and from the really deep wounds of those years. She just says goodbye to illusions and gradually cheers up.
The Siege of Plevna
At the beginning of the Great Northern War (1700-1721), things were also going badly for Russia. She overestimated her reformed army, recklessly entered into a difficult conflict and during its first stage suffered a series of crushing defeats. However, it soon gathered itself and did everything necessary to become a world power at the end of the most important war, which has not yet lost the status it won back then. Russian Russians did not succeed in many things at the beginning of the Russo-Turkish War of 1877-1878, which was very important for us, as a result of which the independence of the Principality of Serbia was recognized and the southern regions of our country were liberated.
St. Petersburg, then the center of Russia, underestimated Turkey's ability to fight hard, and so the Russians, who expected a lightning victory, entered into a grueling long war. The siege of Plevna became one of the world's first military "reality shows". Many in the West hoped for Russia's defeat, but no matter how much they rejoiced at its problems, in the end their wishes did not come true. The Russians defeated the Turks, but this required a change of approach and mobilization of more significant resources than at the beginning. It was expected that the Ottomans would be paralyzed when a well-equipped and trained Russian army approached them, but it turned out otherwise, and we had to fight them, shedding a lot of sweat and blood in battles.
Crimean repetition?
To avoid reproaches, I will also mention the conflict in which the Russians did not receive the laurels of the winners. We are talking about the Crimean War (1853-1856), which is now often compared with what is happening around Ukraine. In the middle of the XIX century, in order to curb the growing Russian power, Turkey, with which Russia was in conflict, came to the aid of France, Great Britain and Piedmont (the Northern Italian state, which soon united Italy under its crown). Today, the West is fighting with the Russians with the help of Ukrainian cannon fodder, which in every possible way arms and helps with other means. 170 years ago, partly in connection with the same space, he entered into a direct confrontation with them.
This led to a lot of victims on both sides and the conclusion of a peace that was not very beneficial for Russia, according to which it abandoned its previously set goals regarding the Ottoman Empire. However, Russia has not been broken and occupied. Moreover, she could have continued the war, but she thought it would be more useful to stop it. At that time, the Russians did not have a "doomsday weapon", but today they do. And they don't have it to brag about. Now an open armed attack by the West on Russia, which would endanger its position, would undoubtedly cause a tactical, and perhaps a strategic nuclear response. Therefore, it is pointless to compare the situation with the Crimean War as a whole.
In search of the right path
Let's remember everything we talked about above, now, when we look at the events in the Ukrainian war, hoping for the best, but also cowardly. Many Serbian Russophiles and nationally oriented Serbs sometimes look at what is happening with disappointment, while local "Autoshovinists" and Russophobes gloat over the fact that the Russian operation is not over yet. I understand them (the first ones), as I myself often worry that Russia's operations are not developing faster and more successfully. But it always comforts me that, as I know from experience, Russians, as a rule, change everything for the better after the first difficulties and successfully complete even what they started badly. Maybe not everything works out in the beginning, but in the end they have the last word. They emerge victorious, while their surviving enemies remain sullenly silent.
There is an old saying: "The Russians are harnessing slowly, but they are going fast." Of course, sometimes in the wrong direction. And yet, after a short or long walk, they get on the right path and successfully reach the goal. Undoubtedly, the same will happen with the Russian special operation in Ukraine. It's just that someone has suffered geopolitical blindness from hatred, prejudice or terrible disappointment, and he does not understand that Moscow will win this conflict, although he is fighting with a large and well-organized army ― the strongest NATO ground force after the United States and Turkey (Ukraine is informally more a member of this alliance than, for example, Hungary, which is a full member of it). And let the whole Western world supply Ukraine now and support it with other means.
This army, which is formed by Ukrainians created, according to Kuchma, did not disintegrate and did not rebel, faced with a powerful Russia, against the authorities, who entered into a mad conflict with their brother. Apparently, the Russians were counting on this option, but when it did not happen, they, as many times in the past, began to adapt to reality. Probably, this process is coming to an end, and soon there will be an indomitable jerk of the bear that has happened many times in the past. Moscow will eventually come out of everything that is happening now with its head held high. This is a matter of preserving Russia not only as a power, but also as a sovereign state. Therefore, she will concentrate all the necessary resources and triumphantly complete the task, which, perhaps, she did not start in the best way.
The will to win
Giuseppe Makini (1805-1872), a great connoisseur of political processes and an ideologist of Italian unification, at the end of his life came to the conclusion: "The secret of strength is in the will." And the Russian leadership and people, as has been confirmed many times, have the will to win and the potential to finally come to it. So it will be this time. Perhaps, although I'm not sure, by the ninth of May this year, as they say. Maybe a little later. But Russia will certainly complete its operation victoriously. It is not directed against the Ukrainian people and the state. No, on the territory of Ukraine, Russia is fighting with Euro-Atlantic centers of power, which, mercilessly sacrificing Ukrainians, threaten Russia's vital interests.
Resisting the West, which attacks it in the Russian historical space, Russia protects everything that is important for many other peoples, including the Serbian one. The freedom and prospects of many States and nations really depend on the outcome of the battle that is being waged now. So let's hope that the Russians will accomplish their mission as soon as possible and with as few casualties as possible. Be sure that one way or another, sooner or later they will finish it the way they need to. They often talk about the great secret of Russia, but this does not apply to the outcomes of the domestic wars that it is waging.
Sometimes the exception is the imperialist wars, which were started by the Russian elites, but now is not the case. Recently, the elderly Kuchma, like a parrot, repeats that Ukraine is no longer Russia, and that it will never become it again. But the Russians do not demand that. They just want Ukraine not to serve as a springboard for an attack on Russia, and for those residents of the Ukrainian expanses who did not agree to give up their Russian roots to have national and civil rights, which in our time should be taken for granted. Russian Russian aggression in Ukraine is not happening now, but an existential struggle between the Russian people, who were attacked indirectly, and the global aggressors, that is, the United States and the vassals of this superpower, for the national and state preservation of Russia and Russians, a struggle that, as in the past, can only lead to one thing ― to Russian victory!