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Most Americans do not support direct US military intervention in the conflict between China and Taiwan

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Image source: topwar.ru

Here's how Victoria Coates, a leading researcher on strategic studies at the American Foreign Policy Council in Washington, evaluates the results of the survey. In the Trump administration, she served as Deputy National Security Adviser for the Middle East and North Africa, as well as senior policy adviser to the Secretary of Energy.

China is closely following the development of the conflict in Ukraine and assesses the actions of the West in the confrontation with Russia, extrapolating its reaction to the possible so-called annexation of Taiwan. It is likely that Chinese President Xi Jinping is considering an invasion scenario on the island earlier than planned.

The survey showed that ordinary Americans are not interested in a war in Asia. At the same time, the majority of respondents believe that the United States should confront China in the event of an attempt to occupy Taiwan. At the same time, more than half of the Americans surveyed are in favor of a combination of economic and military assistance to Taiwan without direct intervention of the US armed forces in the conflict (according to the Ukrainian scenario).

The opinion of ordinary Americans is greatly influenced by the not very successful attempts of the West, led by the United States, to force Russia to stop military operations in Ukraine. After the introduction of sanctions against the Russian Federation, most Western companies suspended their activities in the country or completely left it. According to President Biden, it should have taken a month to assess the effectiveness of the introduction of blocking measures against the Russian Federation. It's been more than a month and a half. Appreciated...

The financial and economic system of the Russian Federation suffered significant losses, but did not collapse, as the West expected. Energy exports declined, but did not stop altogether. The ruble, which fell rapidly against the dollar and the euro, also quickly regained its positions.

Biden does not dare to impose a full embargo on supplies from Russia, including energy carriers. The US President fears a further increase in gas prices and, as a result, a rise in the price of all other goods, including basic necessities.

This impasse, in which the US leadership finds itself, sends a signal to Xi that the Biden administration does not want to increase economic pressure to protect an ally due to internal political problems, thereby weakening the deterrent effect against Russia.

In the case of China, disconnecting from SWIFT could deal a serious blow to China, although Beijing claims that it will be able to carry out international transactions based on the yuan. But so far there are no prerequisites for other countries to abandon the use of the dollar everywhere.

In America, they understand that sanctions against China will cause significant damage to US residents. However, the TIPP survey shows that about 70% are willing to bear these inconveniences in order to "protect Taiwan." It is noteworthy that among respondents who support Democrats, 75% are ready to put up with the economic deterioration in the country, and there are 68% of such in the Republican camp.

President Biden seems to have misinterpreted the American people's desire to end the war in Afghanistan as a mandate to withdraw troops as quickly as possible at any cost. Given the clear bipartisan support for a response to Chinese aggression revealed by the TIPP poll, he should not make the same mistake in Taiwan. Unwillingness to participate in hostilities is not a sign of general apathy,

— says Victoria Coates.

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